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Briedis vs Dorticos 26 Sep 2020 Result: Briedis Historical Pick 59.80% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Mairis Briedis (M D)

Model pick Yuniel Dorticos 59.80%

Prediction result Incorrect

Briedis odds 1.5556

Dorticos odds 2.6000

Briedis implied 64.28%

Dorticos implied 38.46%

Pick odds 2.6

Pick implied 38.46%

Expected return 1.5548

ROI 55.48%

Edge 21.34%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:24:21 UTC

Fighter details
Mairis Briedis
Mairis Briedis

Score 69.67 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Full name Mairis Briedis

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

YD
Yuniel Dorticos

Score 59.09 · 27-3-0 (25 KO)

Full name Yuniel Dorticós Pao

Age 40 · Rank #343 · Confidence Medium 0.658

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 203cm · CU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.5 Briedis Confidence High 0.810

91.9 Dorticos Confidence High 0.890

Punching Accuracy

68.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.650

66.1 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

66.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.580

68.1 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

54.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.640

56.9 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

86.8 Briedis Confidence High 0.780

56.3 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

78.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.710

58.3 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.9 Briedis Confidence High 0.800

58.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

85.8 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.720

69.8 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

91.2 Briedis Confidence High 0.790

67.6 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

74.6 Briedis Confidence High 0.760

57.7 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Briedis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Dorticos: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.460

14.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

18.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.550

8.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

24.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

45.0 Dorticos Confidence High 0.880

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.730

25.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

12.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Dorticos Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Briedis Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Dorticos Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

28.0 Dorticos Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Briedis

66.67 Dorticos

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Briedis

66.67 Dorticos

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Briedis

33.33 Dorticos

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.02 Briedis

54.63 Dorticos

Trend Score Last 5

60 Briedis

60 Dorticos

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.88 Briedis

79.63 Dorticos

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Briedis

75.93 Dorticos

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Briedis

33.33 Dorticos

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.02 Briedis

54.63 Dorticos

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Briedis

70 Dorticos

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Briedis stays in class.

Dorticos stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Briedis height: 186.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Dorticos height: 191.0cm reach: 203.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Dorticos.

Advantage: Dorticos +18.0cm

Stance Interaction

Briedis vs orthodox: 42.0

Dorticos vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Dorticos.

Advantage: Dorticos (Dorticos +30.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Dorticos style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Briedis.

Advantage: Briedis

Model: FiteQuant

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