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Briedis vs Opetaia 18 May 2024 Result: Opetaia Historical Pick 65.56% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jai Opetaia (U D)

Model pick Jai Opetaia 65.56%

Prediction result Correct

Briedis odds 7.6000

Opetaia odds 1.1667

Briedis implied 13.16%

Opetaia implied 85.71%

Pick odds 1.1667

Pick implied 85.71%

Expected return 0.7649

ROI -23.51%

Edge -20.15%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:21:08 UTC

Fighter details
Mairis Briedis
Mairis Briedis

Score 69.78 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Full name Mairis Briedis

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

JO
Jai Opetaia

Score 77.71 · 30-0-0 (23 KO)

Full name Jai Tapu Opetaia

Age 30 · Rank #19 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 193cm · AU

The Ring Cruiserweight IBF Cruiserweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.5 Briedis Confidence High 0.810

83.2 Opetaia Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

68.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.650

83.8 Opetaia Confidence High 0.750

Hand Speed

66.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.580

83.4 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

54.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.640

75.5 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

86.8 Briedis Confidence High 0.780

85.7 Opetaia Confidence High 0.790

Distance Footwork Control

78.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.710

84.9 Opetaia Confidence High 0.800

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.9 Briedis Confidence High 0.800

84.7 Opetaia Confidence High 0.810

Counter Punching

85.8 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.720

82.5 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

91.2 Briedis Confidence High 0.790

84.5 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

74.6 Briedis Confidence High 0.760

83.1 Opetaia Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Briedis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Opetaia: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.460

18.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

18.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.550

22.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.700

Power Slugger

24.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

20.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.730

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.730

32.0 Opetaia Confidence High 0.820

Counter Puncher

12.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.430

Stance Advantage Briedis Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Opetaia Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Opetaia Confidence Medium 0.700

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

32.0 Opetaia Confidence Low 0.430

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Briedis

66.67 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.02 Briedis

61.01 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5

60 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.88 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Briedis

72.22 Opetaia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.02 Briedis

61.01 Opetaia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Briedis

100 Opetaia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Briedis stays in class.

Opetaia stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Briedis reach: 190.0cm height: 186.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Opetaia reach: 193.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Opetaia.

Advantage: Opetaia

Stance Interaction

Briedis advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Opetaia advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Opetaia.

Advantage: Opetaia

Style Interaction

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Opetaia style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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