Mairis Briedis vs Ismaikel Pérez

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Briedis vs Pérez Model lean: Briedis Custom 62.29% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Mairis Briedis 62.29%

Briedis odds N/A

Pérez odds N/A

Briedis implied N/A

Pérez implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Mairis Briedis

Score 68.55 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Full name Mairis Briedis

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

Ismaikel Pérez

Score 59.41 · 31-3-1 (22 KO)

Full name Ismaikel Pérez Pérez

Age 40 · Rank #326 · Confidence Medium 0.576

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 193cm · IE

Mairis Briedis

Full name: Mairis Briedis
Age: 41
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 68.55
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.666
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 186cm / 190cm
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Briedis

Custom

62% Briedis

38% Pérez

Model lean: Mairis Briedis 62.29%
Win probability: 62.29%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Ismaikel Pérez

Full name: Ismaikel Pérez Pérez
Age: 40
Fighter rank: #326
Current model score: 59.41
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.576
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 193cm
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 31-3-1 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.5 Briedis Confidence High 0.810

80.0 Pérez Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

68.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.650

68.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

66.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Pérez Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

54.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.640

61.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

86.8 Briedis Confidence High 0.780

58.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.590

Distance Footwork Control

78.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.710

63.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.530

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.9 Briedis Confidence High 0.800

66.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

85.8 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.720

65.0 Pérez Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

91.2 Briedis Confidence High 0.790

54.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

74.6 Briedis Confidence High 0.760

69.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Briedis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Pérez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.460

10.0 Pérez Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

18.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.550

24.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

24.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

22.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.730

34.0 Pérez Confidence High 0.760

Counter Puncher

12.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.370

10.0 Pérez Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage Briedis Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Pérez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

32.0 Pérez Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Briedis

100 Pérez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Briedis

100 Pérez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Briedis

33.33 Pérez

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.02 Briedis

44.67 Pérez

Trend Score Last 5

60 Briedis

100 Pérez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.88 Briedis

100 Pérez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Briedis

100 Pérez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Briedis

33.33 Pérez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.02 Briedis

46.93 Pérez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Briedis

100 Pérez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Briedis stays in class.

Pérez moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Briedis.

Advantage: Briedis

Height Reach Delta

Briedis height: 186.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Pérez height: 185.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Pérez.

Advantage: Pérez +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

Briedis vs southpaw: 58.0

Pérez vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Pérez.

Advantage: Pérez (Pérez +10.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Pérez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral