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Makabu vs Cieślak 31 Jan 2020 Result: Makabu Historical Pick 68.13% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Junior Makabu (U D)

Model pick Michał Cieślak 68.13%

Prediction result Incorrect

Makabu odds 1.4545

Cieślak odds 3.4000

Makabu implied 68.75%

Cieślak implied 29.41%

Pick odds 3.4

Pick implied 29.41%

Expected return 2.3163

ROI 131.63%

Edge 38.71%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:24:34 UTC

Fighter details
IM
Ilunga Makabu

Score 49.12 · 30-4-0 (26 KO)

Full name Junior Ilunga Makabu

Age 38 · Rank #452 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Southpaw · H/R 183cm / 188cm · ZA

MC
Michał Cieślak

Score 64.18 · 28-2-0 (22 KO)

Full name Michał Cieślak

Age 37 · Rank #228 · Confidence Medium 0.566

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 201cm · PL

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.4 Makabu Confidence High 0.840

90.8 Cieślak Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

49.4 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.580

74.7 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

44.2 Makabu Confidence Low 0.450

68.7 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

54.3 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.600

81.1 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

43.9 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.630

64.4 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.450

Distance Footwork Control

44.2 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.520

67.8 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.490

Ring Iq Adaptability

51.4 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.590

63.6 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.510

Counter Punching

46.8 Makabu Confidence Low 0.440

67.6 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

45.9 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.720

75.4 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

45.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.610

64.7 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.560

Style Profile Makabu: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Cieślak: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.560

18.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

8.0 Makabu Confidence Low 0.490

12.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

42.0 Makabu Confidence High 0.750

34.0 Cieślak Confidence High 0.760

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.610

28.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

8.0 Makabu Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Advantage Makabu Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Cieślak Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.640

64.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.640

36.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Makabu

33.33 Cieślak

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.45 Makabu

44.67 Cieślak

Trend Score Last 5

60 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.99 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Makabu

33.33 Cieślak

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.45 Makabu

46.27 Cieślak

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Makabu

100 Cieślak

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Makabu stays in class.

Cieślak stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Makabu reach: 188.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Cieślak reach: 201.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Cieślak.

Advantage: Cieślak

Stance Interaction

Makabu advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Cieślak advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Makabu.

Advantage: Makabu

Style Interaction

Makabu style: Power Slugger

Cieślak style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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