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Makabu vs Papin 24 Aug 2019 Result: Makabu Historical Pick 58.44% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Junior Makabu (M D)

Model pick Alexei Papin 58.44%

Prediction result Incorrect

Makabu odds 1.8696

Papin odds 2.0500

Makabu implied 53.49%

Papin implied 48.78%

Pick odds 2.05

Pick implied 48.78%

Expected return 1.1980

ROI 19.80%

Edge 9.66%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:24:59 UTC

Fighter details
IM
Ilunga Makabu

Score 49.73 · 30-4-0 (26 KO)

Full name Junior Ilunga Makabu

Age 38 · Rank #452 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Southpaw · H/R 183cm / 188cm · ZA

AP
Alexei Papin

Score 60.61 · 18-1-0 (17 KO)

Full name Alexey Vasilyevich Papin

Age 38 · Rank #301 · Confidence Medium 0.519

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / N/A · RU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.4 Makabu Confidence High 0.840

84.5 Papin Confidence High 0.870

Punching Accuracy

49.4 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.580

71.5 Papin Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

44.2 Makabu Confidence Low 0.450

67.7 Papin Confidence Low 0.450

Pace Pressure

54.3 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.600

72.1 Papin Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

43.9 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.630

63.6 Papin Confidence Low 0.420

Distance Footwork Control

44.2 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.520

63.8 Papin Confidence Low 0.430

Ring Iq Adaptability

51.4 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.590

62.3 Papin Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

46.8 Makabu Confidence Low 0.440

64.3 Papin Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

45.9 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Papin Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

45.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.610

56.6 Papin Confidence Medium 0.510

Style Profile Makabu: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Papin: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.560

12.0 Papin Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

8.0 Makabu Confidence Low 0.490

6.0 Papin Confidence Low 0.320

Power Slugger

42.0 Makabu Confidence High 0.750

48.0 Papin Confidence High 0.830

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.610

26.0 Papin Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

8.0 Makabu Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Papin Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Makabu Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Papin Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.640

58.0 Papin Confidence Medium 0.600

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Makabu Confidence Medium 0.640

42.0 Papin Confidence Medium 0.600

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Makabu

100 Papin

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Makabu

100 Papin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Makabu

0 Papin

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.45 Makabu

52.67 Papin

Trend Score Last 5

60 Makabu

100 Papin

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Makabu

100 Papin

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.99 Makabu

100 Papin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Makabu

0 Papin

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.45 Makabu

52.67 Papin

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Makabu

100 Papin

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Makabu stays in class.

Papin stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Makabu reach: 188.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Papin reach: N/A height: 185.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Makabu advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Papin advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Makabu.

Advantage: Makabu

Style Interaction

Makabu style: Power Slugger

Papin style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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