Chris Billam-Smith vs Cheavon Clarke

Data as of: 2026-10-14 09:32:34 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-10-12 10:12:58 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Billam-Smith vs Clarke 07 Nov 2026 Model pick: Billam-Smith Locked prediction 54.01% ROI: -31.39% Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Chris Billam-Smith 54.01%

Billam-Smith odds 1.2703

Clarke odds 3.6000

Billam-Smith implied 78.72%

Clarke implied 27.78%

Market odds 1.2703

Implied probability 78.72%

Expected return 0.6861

ROI -31.39%

Edge -24.71%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-12 10:12:58 UTC

Fighter details

Chris Billam-Smith

Score 69.85 · 22-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Chris Billam-Smith

Age 36 · Rank #93 · Confidence Medium 0.614

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB

Cheavon Clarke

Score 65.17 · 12-2-0 (9 KO)

Full name Cheavon Clarke

Age 35 · Rank #261 · Confidence Medium 0.555

Stance Southpaw · H/R 183cm / 192cm · GB

Chris Billam-Smith

Full name: Chris Billam-Smith
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #93
Current model score: 69.85
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.614
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 193cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (14 KO)

07 Nov 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Billam-Smith

Locked prediction

54% Billam-Smith

46% Clarke

Model pick: Chris Billam-Smith 54.01%
Win probability: 54.01%
Market odds: 1.2703
Implied probability: 78.72%
Expected ROI (1u): -31.39%
Value edge: -24.71%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-12 10:12:58 UTC

Cheavon Clarke

Full name: Cheavon Clarke
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #261
Current model score: 65.17
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.555
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 183cm / 192cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 12-2-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

83.0 Clarke Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.610

70.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

68.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.520

68.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

79.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.700

72.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

72.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.600

64.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.530

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring IQ Adaptability

81.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

67.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

70.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

66.0 Clarke Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

78.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

74.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

84.0 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.780

73.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Billam-Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Clarke: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

14.0 Clarke Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

16.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Clarke Confidence Low 0.380

Power Slugger

14.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

31.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

37.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.340

8.0 Clarke Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Billam-Smith vs southpaw · Clarke vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

82.0 Clarke Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

18.0 Clarke Confidence Low 0.440

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Opponent Rating Last 3

82.05 Billam-Smith

65.72 Clarke

Trend Score Last 5

85 Billam-Smith

80 Clarke

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Billam-Smith

100 Clarke

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

82.05 Billam-Smith

65.72 Clarke

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Billam-Smith

90 Clarke

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Billam-Smith stays in class.

Clarke stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Billam-Smith height: 191.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Clarke height: 183.0cm reach: 192.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Billam-Smith.

Advantage: Billam-Smith +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Billam-Smith vs southpaw: 36.0

Clarke vs orthodox: 82.0

Interaction: high advantage Clarke.

Advantage: Clarke

Style Interaction

Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Clarke style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral