Chris Billam-Smith vs Gilberto Sánchez

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2024-11-16

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Billam-Smith vs Sánchez 16 Nov 2024 Result: Sánchez Historical Pick 50.85% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Gilberto Sánchez (U D)

Model pick Chris Billam-Smith 50.85%

Prediction result Incorrect

Billam-Smith odds 3.1500

Sánchez odds 1.5000

Billam-Smith implied 31.75%

Sánchez implied 66.67%

Pick odds 3.15

Pick implied 31.75%

Expected return 1.6019

ROI 60.19%

Edge 19.11%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:38 UTC

Fighter details

Chris Billam-Smith

Score 71.64 · 21-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Chris Billam-Smith

Age 35 · Rank #97 · Confidence Medium 0.628

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB

Gilberto Sánchez

Score 65.07 · 48-3-0 (30 KO)

Full name Gilberto Ramírez Sánchez

Age 34 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.644

Stance Southpaw · H/R 189cm / 191cm · MX

WBA Cruiserweight WBO Cruiserweight

Chris Billam-Smith

Full name: Chris Billam-Smith
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #97
Current model score: 71.64
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.628
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 193cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 21-2-0 (13 KO)

16 Nov 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Sánchez

Historical

51% Billam-Smith

49% Sánchez

Fight result: Gilberto Sánchez (U D)
Model pick: Chris Billam-Smith 50.85%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 50.85%
Market odds: 3.15
Implied probability: 31.75%
Expected ROI (1u): 60.19%
Value edge: 19.11%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:38 UTC

Gilberto Sánchez

Full name: Gilberto Ramírez Sánchez
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #183
Current model score: 65.07
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.644
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 189cm / 191cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 48-3-0 (30 KO)

World titles

WBA Cruiserweight WBO Cruiserweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.6 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.760

80.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

73.4 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

74.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

65.3 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

70.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

86.8 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.750

78.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.730

Defensive Skill

76.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

74.9 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.570

68.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.8 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

71.8 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.480

69.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

89.1 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.700

61.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

87.9 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.800

82.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Billam-Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Sánchez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.610

14.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.530

Out Boxer

18.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

33.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

14.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

11.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.780

Counter Puncher

10.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Sánchez Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Advantage Billam-Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Sánchez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

68.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

32.0 Sánchez Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Billam-Smith

66.67 Sánchez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Billam-Smith

0 Sánchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Billam-Smith

66.67 Sánchez

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.35 Billam-Smith

81.97 Sánchez

Trend Score Last 5

80 Billam-Smith

80 Sánchez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Billam-Smith

82.27 Sánchez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.5 Billam-Smith

31.91 Sánchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Billam-Smith

66.67 Sánchez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.35 Billam-Smith

81.97 Sánchez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Billam-Smith

80 Sánchez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Billam-Smith stays in class.

Sánchez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Billam-Smith reach: 193.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Sánchez reach: 191.0cm height: 189.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Billam-Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Sánchez advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Sánchez.

Advantage: Sánchez

Style Interaction

Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Sánchez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral