Chris Billam-Smith vs Mateusz Masternak

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2023-12-10

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Billam-Smith vs Masternak 10 Dec 2023 Result: Billam-Smith Historical Pick 65.86% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Chris Billam-Smith (RTD)

Model pick Chris Billam-Smith 65.86%

Prediction result Correct

Billam-Smith odds 1.2857

Masternak odds 4.3500

Billam-Smith implied 77.78%

Masternak implied 22.99%

Pick odds 1.2857

Pick implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.8467

ROI -15.33%

Edge -11.92%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:12:41 UTC

Fighter details

Chris Billam-Smith

Score 67.91 · 21-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Chris Billam-Smith

Age 35 · Rank #177 · Confidence Medium 0.623

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB

Mateusz Masternak

Score 62.56 · 50-7-0 (33 KO)

Full name Mateusz Masternak

Age 39 · Rank #277 · Confidence Medium 0.588

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 188cm · PL

Chris Billam-Smith

Full name: Chris Billam-Smith
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #177
Current model score: 67.91
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.623
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 193cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 21-2-0 (13 KO)

10 Dec 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Billam-Smith

Historical

66% Billam-Smith

34% Masternak

Fight result: Chris Billam-Smith (RTD)
Model pick: Chris Billam-Smith 65.86%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 65.86%
Market odds: 1.2857
Implied probability: 77.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -15.33%
Value edge: -11.92%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:12:41 UTC

Mateusz Masternak

Full name: Mateusz Masternak
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #277
Current model score: 62.56
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.588
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 188cm
Nationality: PL
Career snapshot: 50-7-0 (33 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.760

74.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

66.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.520

63.0 Masternak Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

80.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

68.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

69.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.590

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.590

71.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

75.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

68.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

67.0 Masternak Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

75.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

82.0 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.780

73.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Billam-Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Masternak: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.610

12.0 Masternak Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

12.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.470

22.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

18.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

18.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

38.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

10.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.340

10.0 Masternak Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Billam-Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Masternak Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

28.0 Masternak Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Billam-Smith

66.67 Masternak

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Billam-Smith

33.33 Masternak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Billam-Smith

66.67 Masternak

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.91 Billam-Smith

65.64 Masternak

Trend Score Last 5

80 Billam-Smith

60 Masternak

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Billam-Smith

77.78 Masternak

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.5 Billam-Smith

46.3 Masternak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Billam-Smith

66.67 Masternak

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.91 Billam-Smith

65.64 Masternak

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Billam-Smith

80 Masternak

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Billam-Smith stays in class.

Masternak stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Billam-Smith height: 191.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Masternak height: 188.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Billam-Smith.

Advantage: Billam-Smith +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Billam-Smith vs orthodox: 68.0

Masternak vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Masternak style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral