Yamil Jara vs Ryan Rozicki

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2022-05-07

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Jara vs Rozicki 07 May 2022 Result: Rozicki Historical Pick 50.78% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Ryan Rozicki (S D)

Model pick Ryan Rozicki 50.78%

Prediction result Correct

Jara odds 4.1000

Rozicki odds 1.3333

Jara implied 24.39%

Rozicki implied 75.00%

Pick odds 1.3333

Pick implied 75.00%

Expected return 0.6770

ROI -32.30%

Edge -24.22%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:23:07 UTC

Fighter details

Yamil Jara

Score 63.58 · 17-1-1 (9 KO)

Full name Yamil Alberto Peralta Jara

Age 34 · Rank #297 · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 189cm / N/A · AR

Ryan Rozicki

Score 61.30 · 21-1-1 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Joseph Rozicki

Age 31 · Rank #298 · Confidence Medium 0.555

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / N/A · CA

Yamil Jara

Full name: Yamil Alberto Peralta Jara
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #297
Current model score: 63.58
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.546
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 189cm / N/A
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 17-1-1 (9 KO)

07 May 2022

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Rozicki

Historical

49% Jara

51% Rozicki

Fight result: Ryan Rozicki (S D)
Model pick: Ryan Rozicki 50.78%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 50.78%
Market odds: 1.3333
Implied probability: 75.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -32.30%
Value edge: -24.22%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:23:07 UTC

Ryan Rozicki

Full name: Ryan Joseph Rozicki
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #298
Current model score: 61.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.555
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / N/A
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 21-1-1 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

73.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.680

84.5 Rozicki Confidence High 0.880

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.520

67.4 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.540

Hand Speed

61.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.400

62.1 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

66.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.500

86.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

69.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.580

59.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.460

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.620

56.3 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.430

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.660

63.7 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

65.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.440

56.9 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.350

Chin

71.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

82.3 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

76.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.700

74.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Jara: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Rozicki: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.410

24.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

21.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

4.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

17.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.520

50.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.690

16.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.510

Counter Puncher

12.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.320

6.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage Jara Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Rozicki Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

72.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

28.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.350

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Jara

66.67 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Jara

66.67 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Jara

33.33 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.84 Jara

51.87 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5

90 Jara

90 Rozicki

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.21 Jara

80.83 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Jara

78.33 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Jara

33.33 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.84 Jara

51.87 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Jara

90 Rozicki

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jara stays in class.

Rozicki stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jara height: 189.0cm reach: N/A

Rozicki height: 187.9cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Jara vs orthodox: 42.0

Rozicki vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Rozicki.

Advantage: Rozicki (Rozicki +30.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Jara style: Boxer Puncher

Rozicki style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Jara.

Advantage: Jara