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Buatsi vs Hutchinson 07 Nov 2026 Model pick: Buatsi Locked prediction 65.10% ROI: 20.27% Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Joshua Buatsi 65.10%

Buatsi odds 1.8475

Hutchinson odds 1.9259

Buatsi implied 54.13%

Hutchinson implied 51.92%

Market odds 1.8475

Implied probability 54.13%

Expected return 1.2027

ROI 20.27%

Edge 10.97%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-12 10:16:08 UTC

Fighter details
JB
Joshua Buatsi

Score 68.72 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Joshua Buatsi

Age 33 · Rank #147 · Confidence Medium 0.597

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

WH
William Hutchinson

Score 63.53 · 20-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name William Hutchinson

Age 28 · Rank #373 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 185cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.730

82.0 Hutchinson Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.590

73.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

72.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.640

74.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

73.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.600

63.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.630

69.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.670

71.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

71.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.530

66.0 Hutchinson Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

74.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.480

64.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.540

Cardio Engine

80.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.700

76.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Buatsi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Hutchinson: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.460

14.0 Hutchinson Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

18.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.560

19.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.600

Power Slugger

20.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.580

17.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.730

38.0 Hutchinson Confidence High 0.750

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.350

12.0 Hutchinson Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Buatsi vs orthodox  ·  Hutchinson vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

66.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Hutchinson Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

34.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.640

32.0 Hutchinson Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Buatsi

66.67 Hutchinson

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Buatsi

33.33 Hutchinson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Buatsi

33.33 Hutchinson

Opponent Rating Last 3

78.15 Buatsi

65.02 Hutchinson

Trend Score Last 5

80 Buatsi

80 Hutchinson

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Buatsi

80.7 Hutchinson

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.11 Buatsi

50.88 Hutchinson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Buatsi

33.33 Hutchinson

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

78.15 Buatsi

65.02 Hutchinson

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Buatsi

82.5 Hutchinson

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Buatsi stays in class.

Hutchinson stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Buatsi height: 188.0cm reach: 189.0cm

Hutchinson height: 185.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Buatsi.

Advantage: Buatsi +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Buatsi vs orthodox: 66.0

Hutchinson vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Hutchinson style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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