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Buatsi vs Smith 22 Feb 2025 Result: Smith Historical Pick 52.97% Prediction: Correct Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Callum Smith (U D)

Model pick Callum Smith 52.97%

Prediction result Correct

Buatsi odds 1.5319

Smith odds 2.6500

Buatsi implied 65.28%

Smith implied 37.74%

Pick odds 2.65

Pick implied 37.74%

Expected return 1.4036

ROI 40.36%

Edge 15.23%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:33:36 UTC

Fighter details
JB
Joshua Buatsi

Score 71.20 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Joshua Buatsi

Age 33 · Rank #84 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

CS
Callum Smith

Score 66.38 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Full name Callum John Smith

Age 36 · Rank #178 · Confidence Medium 0.624

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.720

84.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

77.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.580

74.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.650

Hand Speed

80.8 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

75.9 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

82.6 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.600

71.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

81.7 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.590

80.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.2 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.660

78.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

75.8 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.480

73.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.590

Chin

79.1 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.490

67.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

82.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.670

75.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Buatsi: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Smith: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

18.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

17.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.620

24.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Buatsi Confidence High 0.790

32.0 Smith Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

12.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.410

6.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.330

Stance Advantage Buatsi Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.650

58.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.380

42.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.410

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Buatsi

66.67 Smith

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Buatsi

33.33 Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Buatsi

0 Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.72 Buatsi

70.32 Smith

Trend Score Last 5

80 Buatsi

80 Smith

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Buatsi

81.67 Smith

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.11 Buatsi

51.67 Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Buatsi

0 Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.72 Buatsi

70.32 Smith

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Buatsi

80 Smith

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Buatsi stays in class.

Smith stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Buatsi height: 188.0cm reach: 189.0cm

Smith height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Buatsi vs orthodox: 72.0

Smith vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Buatsi.

Advantage: Buatsi

Style Interaction

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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