Joshua Buatsi vs Callum Smith

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Custom Matchup

Using selected fighters with persisted profile data. Choose matchup weight class before running.

Buatsi vs Smith Winner: Buatsi 52.37% ROI: N/A Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Bout details

Buatsi odds N/A

Smith odds N/A

Buatsi implied N/A

Smith implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Joshua Buatsi

Score 68.30 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #95 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

Callum Smith

Score 63.92 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #138 · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Joshua Buatsi

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #95
Current model score: 68.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.587
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 189cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Buatsi

52% Buatsi

48% Smith

Win probability: 52.37%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Callum Smith

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #138
Current model score: 63.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.619
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Buatsi FiteQuant · Smith FiteQuant

Punching Power

84.5 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.720

86.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

77.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.580

73.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

80.8 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.560

71.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.540

Pace Pressure

75.9 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.630

66.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

82.6 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.600

72.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

81.7 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.590

79.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.2 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.660

78.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

75.8 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.480

74.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

79.1 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.490

68.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

82.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.670

75.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile

Buatsi: Boxer Puncher · Smith: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.410

Out Boxer

18.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.630

25.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

17.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.620

22.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Buatsi Confidence High 0.790

33.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

Counter Puncher

12.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.410

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage

Buatsi: Vs Orthodox · Smith: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Buatsi Confidence Medium 0.650

62.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Buatsi Confidence Low 0.380

38.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

0 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.72 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

67.47 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

80 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

80 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

81.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.11 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

51.67 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

0 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.72 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

67.47 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Buatsi Confidence High 1.000

80 Smith Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Buatsi stays in class.

Smith stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Buatsi reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith

Stance Interaction

Buatsi advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Buatsi.

Advantage: Buatsi

Style Interaction

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral