Anthony Yarde vs Lyndon Arthur

Data as of: 2026-06-05 14:40:15 UTC Historical As-of 2025-04-26

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Yarde vs Arthur 26 Apr 2025 Result: Yarde Historical Pick 51.95% Prediction: Incorrect Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Anthony Yarde (U D)

Model pick Lyndon Arthur 51.95%

Prediction result Incorrect

Yarde odds 1.1250

Arthur odds 7.0000

Yarde implied 88.89%

Arthur implied 14.29%

Pick odds 7

Pick implied 14.29%

Expected return 3.6364

ROI 263.64%

Edge 37.66%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:22:58 UTC

Fighter details

Anthony Yarde

Score 65.31 · 27-4-0 (24 KO)

Full name Anthony Yarde

Age 34 · Rank #198 · Confidence Medium 0.635

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · GB

Lyndon Arthur

Score 62.61 · 25-3-0 (16 KO)

Full name Lyndon Arthur

Age 34 · Rank #289 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / N/A · GB

Anthony Yarde

Full name: Anthony Yarde
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #198
Current model score: 65.31
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.635
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 27-4-0 (24 KO)

26 Apr 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Yarde

Historical

48% Yarde

52% Arthur

Fight result: Anthony Yarde (U D)
Model pick: Lyndon Arthur 51.95%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 51.95%
Market odds: 7
Implied probability: 14.29%
Expected ROI (1u): 263.64%
Value edge: 37.66%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:22:58 UTC

Lyndon Arthur

Full name: Lyndon Arthur
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #289
Current model score: 62.61
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.591
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 25-3-0 (16 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

91.4 Yarde Confidence High 0.850

75.0 Arthur Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

74.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.660

67.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

84.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

71.8 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

64.9 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.670

69.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

68.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.690

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.7 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

72.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Punching

69.6 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.570

73.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

79.3 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.720

61.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

52.5 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.660

76.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Yarde: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Arthur: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.540

8.0 Arthur Confidence Low 0.330

Out Boxer

10.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.560

34.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.650

Power Slugger

39.0 Yarde Confidence High 0.820

15.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer Puncher

25.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

30.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

8.0 Yarde Confidence Low 0.420

13.0 Arthur Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Yarde Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Arthur Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

72.0 Arthur Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Yarde Confidence Low 0.380

28.0 Arthur Confidence Low 0.350

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Yarde

66.67 Arthur

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Yarde

0 Arthur

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Yarde

66.67 Arthur

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.62 Yarde

68.05 Arthur

Trend Score Last 5

80 Yarde

60 Arthur

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

77.98 Yarde

79.33 Arthur

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.86 Yarde

32 Arthur

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Yarde

66.67 Arthur

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.62 Yarde

68.05 Arthur

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Yarde

72.5 Arthur

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Yarde moves up 3 classes.

Arthur moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Yarde height: 183.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Arthur height: 188.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Yarde vs orthodox: 68.0

Arthur vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Yarde style: Power Slugger

Arthur style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Arthur.

Advantage: Arthur