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Wallace vs Whittaker 03 Oct 2026 Model pick: Whittaker Locked prediction 78.46% ROI: -11.09% Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Benjamin Whittaker 78.46%

Wallace odds 5.6000

Whittaker odds 1.1333

Wallace implied 17.86%

Whittaker implied 88.24%

Market odds 1.1333

Implied probability 88.24%

Expected return 0.8891

ROI -11.09%

Edge -9.78%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-11 17:08:11 UTC

Fighter details
CW
Conor Wallace

Score 62.05 · 8-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Conor Wallace

Age 30 · Rank #354 · Confidence Low 0.498

Stance Southpaw · H/R 192cm / 174cm · AU

Benjamin Whittaker
Benjamin Whittaker

Score 76.39 · 12-0-1 (9 KO)

Full name Benjamin G. Whittaker

Age 29 · Rank #29 · Confidence Medium 0.657

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 191cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.720

85.0 Whittaker Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.480

84.0 Whittaker Confidence High 0.750

Hand Speed

64.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.340

90.0 Whittaker Confidence High 0.820

Pace Pressure

69.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.460

73.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

68.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.430

76.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.510

86.0 Whittaker Confidence High 0.770

Ring IQ Adaptability

73.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.580

81.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

66.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.360

85.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.740

Chin

72.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.440

70.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

76.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Wallace: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Whittaker: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.330

8.0 Whittaker Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

24.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.510

28.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

18.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.480

16.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Whittaker Confidence High 0.800

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Wallace Confidence Low 0.290

10.0 Whittaker Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Wallace vs orthodox  ·  Whittaker vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.640

64.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Wallace Confidence Medium 0.640

36.0 Whittaker Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Opponent Rating Last 3

53.23 Wallace

68.18 Whittaker

Trend Score Last 5

100 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.48 Wallace

68.18 Whittaker

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Wallace

100 Whittaker

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wallace stays in class.

Whittaker stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Wallace height: 192.0cm reach: 174.0cm

Whittaker height: 191.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Whittaker.

Advantage: Whittaker +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wallace vs orthodox: 64.0

Whittaker vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: medium advantage Wallace.

Advantage: Wallace

Style Interaction

Wallace style: Boxer Puncher

Whittaker style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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