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Parker vs Dzambekov 07 Nov 2026 Model pick: Dzambekov Locked prediction 72.46% ROI: -5.59% Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Umar Dzambekov 72.46%

Parker odds 3.3000

Dzambekov odds 1.3030

Parker implied 30.30%

Dzambekov implied 76.75%

Market odds 1.303

Implied probability 76.75%

Expected return 0.9441

ROI -5.59%

Edge -4.29%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-11-03 10:27:34 UTC

Fighter details
ZP
Zach Parker

Score 61.30 · 26-2-0 (18 KO)

Full name Zach Parker

Age 32 · Rank #462 · Confidence Medium 0.559

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 188cm · GB

UD
Umar Dzambekov

Score 64.41 · 14-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Umar Dzambekov

Age 28 · Rank #301 · Confidence Medium 0.502

Stance Southpaw · H/R 187cm / 192cm · AT

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Parker Confidence High 0.810

83.0 Dzambekov Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.620

74.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

69.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.440

Pace Pressure

71.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.470

Defensive Skill

63.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.500

69.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.420

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.500

73.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.510

Ring IQ Adaptability

68.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.560

75.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

67.0 Parker Confidence Low 0.460

70.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

64.0 Parker Confidence Low 0.450

67.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.350

Cardio Engine

70.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.590

72.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.540

Style Profile Parker: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Dzambekov: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Parker Confidence Low 0.460

10.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.350

Out-Boxer

16.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.530

20.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

24.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.640

26.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Parker Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.250

Stance Interaction Parker vs southpaw  ·  Dzambekov vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Dzambekov Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Dzambekov Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Parker

100 Dzambekov

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Parker

66.67 Dzambekov

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Parker

33.33 Dzambekov

Opponent Rating Last 3

63.34 Parker

65.49 Dzambekov

Trend Score Last 5

80 Parker

100 Dzambekov

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.33 Parker

100 Dzambekov

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50.67 Parker

69.7 Dzambekov

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Parker

33.33 Dzambekov

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.34 Parker

65.49 Dzambekov

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Parker

100 Dzambekov

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Parker moves up 1 class.

Dzambekov stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Dzambekov.

Advantage: Dzambekov

Height Reach Delta

Parker height: 183.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Dzambekov height: 187.0cm reach: 192.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Dzambekov.

Advantage: Dzambekov +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Parker vs southpaw: 42.0

Dzambekov vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Dzambekov.

Advantage: Dzambekov

Style Interaction

Parker style: Boxer Puncher

Dzambekov style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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