Terence Crawford vs Israil Madrimov

Data as of: 2026-05-14 00:54:28 UTC Historical As-of 2024-08-03

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Crawford vs Madrimov 03 Aug 2024 Result: Crawford Historical Pick 76.46% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Terence Crawford (U D)

Model pick Terence Crawford 76.46%

Prediction result Correct

Crawford odds 1.1431

Madrimov odds 8.0000

Crawford implied 87.48%

Madrimov implied 12.50%

Pick odds 1.1431

Pick implied 87.48%

Expected return 0.8740

ROI -12.60%

Edge -11.02%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:57:25 UTC

Fighter details

Terence Crawford

Score 82.44 · 42-0-0 (31 KO)

Full name Terence Allan Crawford

Age 38 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

The Ring Super middleweight

Israil Madrimov

Score 73.18 · 11-2-1 (7 KO)

Full name Israil Madrimov

Age 31 · Rank #68 · Confidence Medium 0.619

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 174cm · UZ

Terence Crawford

Full name: Terence Allan Crawford
Age: 38
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 82.44
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 42-0-0 (31 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super middleweight

03 Aug 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Crawford

Historical

76% Crawford

24% Madrimov

Fight result: Terence Crawford (U D)
Model pick: Terence Crawford 76.46%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 76.46%
Market odds: 1.1431
Implied probability: 87.48%
Expected ROI (1u): -12.60%
Value edge: -11.02%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:57:25 UTC

Israil Madrimov

Full name: Israil Madrimov
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #68
Current model score: 73.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.619
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 174cm
Nationality: UZ
Career snapshot: 11-2-1 (7 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.5 Crawford Confidence High 0.840

75.2 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Crawford Confidence High 0.860

81.2 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

88.4 Crawford Confidence High 0.790

86.3 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

84.8 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.720

74.8 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

88.8 Crawford Confidence High 0.820

83.8 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

88.2 Crawford Confidence High 0.800

84.9 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.700

Ring Iq Adaptability

89.1 Crawford Confidence High 0.900

81.7 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter Punching

89.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.880

86.6 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

87.6 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.650

81.3 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

87.6 Crawford Confidence High 0.770

79.4 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Crawford: Boxer-Puncher Counter-Puncher vs Madrimov: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.530

18.0 Madrimov Confidence Low 0.480

Out Boxer

18.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.730

14.0 Madrimov Confidence Low 0.450

Power Slugger

12.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.720

22.0 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

37.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.860

32.0 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

25.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.780

14.0 Madrimov Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Advantage Crawford Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Madrimov Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

44.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.750

62.0 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

56.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.750

38.0 Madrimov Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Crawford

33.33 Madrimov

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Crawford

0 Madrimov

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Crawford

33.33 Madrimov

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.81 Crawford

73.79 Madrimov

Trend Score Last 5

100 Crawford

60 Madrimov

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Crawford

62.12 Madrimov

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.13 Crawford

31.82 Madrimov

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Crawford

33.33 Madrimov

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.81 Crawford

73.79 Madrimov

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Crawford

75 Madrimov

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Crawford moves down 2 classes.

Madrimov stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Madrimov.

Advantage: Madrimov

Reach vs Height Delta

Crawford reach: 188.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 15.0cm

Madrimov reach: 174.0cm height: 174.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Crawford.

Advantage: Crawford

Stance Interaction

Crawford advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Madrimov advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Crawford.

Advantage: Crawford

Style Interaction

Crawford style: Boxer Puncher

Madrimov style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral