Terence Crawford vs Egidijus Kavaliauskas

Data as of: 2026-06-02 04:00:03 UTC Historical As-of 2019-12-14

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Crawford vs Kavaliauskas 14 Dec 2019 Result: Crawford Historical Pick 88.16% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Terence Crawford (TKO)

Model pick Terence Crawford 88.16%

Prediction result Correct

Crawford odds 1.0600

Kavaliauskas odds 16.0000

Crawford implied 94.34%

Kavaliauskas implied 6.25%

Pick odds 1.06

Pick implied 94.34%

Expected return 0.9345

ROI -6.55%

Edge -6.18%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:16 UTC

Fighter details

Terence Crawford

Score 82.18 · 42-0-0 (31 KO)

Full name Terence Allan Crawford

Age 38 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

The Ring Super middleweight

Egidijus Kavaliauskas

Score 54.09 · 25-3-1 (19 KO)

Full name Egidijus Kavaliauskas

Age 37 · Rank #456 · Confidence Medium 0.600

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 180cm · LT

Terence Crawford

Full name: Terence Allan Crawford
Age: 38
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 82.18
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 42-0-0 (31 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super middleweight

14 Dec 2019

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Crawford

Historical

88% Crawford

12% Kavaliauskas

Fight result: Terence Crawford (TKO)
Model pick: Terence Crawford 88.16%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 88.16%
Market odds: 1.06
Implied probability: 94.34%
Expected ROI (1u): -6.55%
Value edge: -6.18%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:16 UTC

Egidijus Kavaliauskas

Full name: Egidijus Kavaliauskas
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #456
Current model score: 54.09
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.600
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 180cm
Nationality: LT
Career snapshot: 25-3-1 (19 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.5 Crawford Confidence High 0.840

81.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Crawford Confidence High 0.860

58.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

88.4 Crawford Confidence High 0.790

57.7 Kavaliauskas Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

84.8 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.720

66.2 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

88.8 Crawford Confidence High 0.820

52.8 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

88.2 Crawford Confidence High 0.800

50.9 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

89.1 Crawford Confidence High 0.900

52.5 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

89.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.880

57.1 Kavaliauskas Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

87.6 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.650

64.6 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

87.6 Crawford Confidence High 0.770

49.4 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile Crawford: Boxer-Puncher Counter-Puncher vs Kavaliauskas: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.530

18.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

18.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.730

10.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

12.0 Crawford Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

37.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.860

28.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

25.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.780

10.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Crawford Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Kavaliauskas Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

44.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.750

64.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

56.0 Crawford Confidence High 0.750

36.0 Kavaliauskas Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Crawford

66.67 Kavaliauskas

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Crawford

33.33 Kavaliauskas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Crawford

66.67 Kavaliauskas

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.81 Crawford

59.22 Kavaliauskas

Trend Score Last 5

100 Crawford

60 Kavaliauskas

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Crawford

77.56 Kavaliauskas

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.13 Crawford

51.28 Kavaliauskas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Crawford

66.67 Kavaliauskas

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.81 Crawford

59.22 Kavaliauskas

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Crawford

65 Kavaliauskas

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Crawford moves down 3 classes.

Kavaliauskas stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Kavaliauskas.

Advantage: Kavaliauskas

Height Reach Delta

Crawford height: 173.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Kavaliauskas height: 175.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Crawford.

Advantage: Crawford +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Crawford vs orthodox: 44.0

Kavaliauskas vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: low advantage Crawford.

Advantage: Crawford

Style Interaction

Crawford style: Boxer Puncher

Kavaliauskas style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Crawford.

Advantage: Crawford