Christian M'billi vs Carlos Mercado

Data as of: 2026-05-09 04:25:28 UTC

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

M'billi vs Mercado Winner: M'billi Custom 69.61% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

M'billi odds N/A

Mercado odds N/A

M'billi implied N/A

Mercado implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Christian M'billi

Score 69.16 · 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Full name Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier

Age 31 · Rank #111 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · CA

Carlos Mercado

Score 58.75 · 22-3-0 (17 KO)

Full name Carlos Gongora Mercado

Age 37 · Rank #338 · Confidence Medium 0.559

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 183cm · EC

Christian M'billi

Full name: Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #111
Current model score: 69.16
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.578
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 183cm
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

M'billi

Custom

70% M'billi

30% Mercado

Win probability: 69.61%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Carlos Mercado

Full name: Carlos Gongora Mercado
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #338
Current model score: 58.75
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.559
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 183cm
Nationality: EC
Career snapshot: 22-3-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.840

82.0 Mercado Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

78.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.620

69.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

85.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.740

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

72.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.450

61.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.480

60.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

Ring Iq Adaptability

77.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.570

63.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

73.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.430

71.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.540

Chin

76.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

74.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

80.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile M'billi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Mercado: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.600

12.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.310

Out Boxer

8.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

18.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

30.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.750

30.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

32.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.720

32.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

6.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.340

8.0 Mercado Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Advantage M'billi Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Mercado Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

37.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 M'billi

33.33 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 M'billi

33.33 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 M'billi

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.52 M'billi

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5

90 M'billi

40 Mercado

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 M'billi

64.39 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.26 M'billi

53.03 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 M'billi

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.52 M'billi

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 M'billi

70 Mercado

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

M'billi stays in class.

Mercado stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

M'billi reach: 183.0cm height: 174.0cm delta: 9.0cm

Mercado reach: 183.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Interaction: high advantage M'billi.

Advantage: M'billi

Stance Interaction

M'billi advantage against orthodox: 63.0

Mercado advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado

Style Interaction

M'billi style: Boxer Puncher

Mercado style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral