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Alameda vs Gonzalez 18 Jul 2026 Result: Gonzalez Time-safe result Pick 62.94% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Albert Gonzalez (KO)

Pre-fight pick Albert Gonzalez 62.94%

Prediction result Correct

Alameda odds 8.0000

Gonzalez odds 1.0710

Alameda implied 12.50%

Gonzalez implied 93.37%

Pre-fight odds 1.071

Pre-fight implied 93.37%

Expected return 0.6741

ROI -32.59%

Edge -30.43%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-15 00:50:21 UTC

Fighter details
AA
Aarón Alameda

Score 65.00 · 30-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Aarón Alameda López

Age 32 · Rank #50 · Confidence Medium 0.521

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 170cm · MX

AG
Albert Gonzalez

Score 43.13 · 18-0-0 (11 KO)

Full name Albert Gonzalez

Age 24 · Rank #398 · Confidence Low 0.438

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 163cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.500

70.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.470

Hand Speed

69.0 Alameda Confidence Low 0.460

68.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

66.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.560

74.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

71.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.620

67.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.340

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.330

Ring IQ Adaptability

68.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.570

71.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Punching

70.0 Alameda Confidence Low 0.490

64.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.290

Chin

76.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.700

69.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.310

Cardio Engine

74.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Alameda: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Gonzalez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Alameda Confidence Low 0.280

18.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.310

Out-Boxer

24.0 Alameda Confidence Low 0.420

22.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

12.0 Alameda Confidence Low 0.350

20.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.420

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.560

32.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Alameda Confidence Very Low 0.210

8.0 Gonzalez Confidence Very Low 0.200

Stance Interaction Alameda vs orthodox  ·  Gonzalez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Alameda Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.2 Alameda

58.97 Gonzalez

Trend Score Last 5

60 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

27.42 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.2 Alameda

58.97 Gonzalez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

65 Alameda

100 Gonzalez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Alameda stays in class.

Gonzalez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Alameda height: 168.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Gonzalez height: 170.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Alameda.

Advantage: Alameda +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Alameda vs orthodox: 58.0

Gonzalez vs southpaw: 42.0

Interaction: low advantage Alameda.

Advantage: Alameda

Style Interaction

Alameda style: Boxer Puncher

Gonzalez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Opponent Derived Objective

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