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Escobedo vs Surace 03 May 2025 Result: Escobedo Historical Pick 59.61% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jaime Escobedo (U D)

Model pick Jaime Escobedo 59.61%

Prediction result Correct

Escobedo odds 1.1000

Surace odds 8.0000

Escobedo implied 90.91%

Surace implied 12.50%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.6558

ROI -34.42%

Edge -31.30%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:09 UTC

Fighter details
Jaime Escobedo
Jaime Escobedo

Score 65.68 · 47-2-0 (35 KO)

Full name Jaime Aarón Munguía Escobedo

Age 29 · Rank #192 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · MX

BS
Bruno Surace

Score 61.59 · 26-1-2 (5 KO)

Full name Bruno Surace

Age 27 · Rank #287 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / N/A · FR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.810

47.9 Surace Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Surace Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

74.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.630

55.7 Surace Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

84.0 Escobedo Confidence High 0.780

49.1 Surace Confidence Medium 0.520

Defensive Skill

61.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.720

76.3 Surace Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

66.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.640

72.3 Surace Confidence Medium 0.550

Ring Iq Adaptability

68.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.660

77.0 Surace Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

64.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.580

81.1 Surace Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

62.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.740

72.5 Surace Confidence Low 0.490

Cardio Engine

79.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.730

81.5 Surace Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Escobedo: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Surace: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.730

12.0 Surace Confidence Low 0.360

Out Boxer

9.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.560

38.0 Surace Confidence Medium 0.670

Power Slugger

24.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.740

6.0 Surace Confidence High 0.800

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.690

24.0 Surace Confidence Medium 0.520

Counter Puncher

5.0 Escobedo Confidence Low 0.430

20.0 Surace Confidence Low 0.480

Stance Advantage Escobedo Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Surace Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.670

72.0 Surace Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Escobedo Confidence Medium 0.670

28.0 Surace Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Escobedo

66.67 Surace

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Escobedo

66.67 Surace

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Escobedo

33.33 Surace

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.62 Escobedo

75.91 Surace

Trend Score Last 5

70 Escobedo

80 Surace

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

82.22 Escobedo

79.49 Surace

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

38.89 Escobedo

66.67 Surace

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Escobedo

33.33 Surace

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.62 Escobedo

75.91 Surace

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Escobedo

90 Surace

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Escobedo stays in class.

Surace stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Escobedo reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Surace reach: N/A height: 183.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Escobedo advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Surace advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Surace

Style Interaction

Escobedo style: Pressure Swarmer

Surace style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Escobedo.

Advantage: Escobedo

Model: FiteQuant

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