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Reséndiz vs Mazoudier 17 Oct 2026 Model pick: Mazoudier Locked prediction 58.72% ROI: 228.86% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Koen Mazoudier 58.72%

Reséndiz odds 1.1250

Mazoudier odds 5.6000

Reséndiz implied 88.89%

Mazoudier implied 17.86%

Market odds 5.6

Implied probability 17.86%

Expected return 3.2886

ROI 228.86%

Edge 40.87%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-14 07:39:40 UTC

Fighter details
AR
Armando Reséndiz

Score 59.42 · 16-4-0 (11 KO)

Full name José Armando Reséndiz García

Age 27 · Rank #548 · Confidence Medium 0.554

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 175cm · MX

KM
Koen Mazoudier

Score 60.52 · 16-4-1 (6 KO)

Full name Koen Mazoudier

Age 31 · Rank #467 · Confidence Medium 0.555

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 180cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Reséndiz Confidence High 0.780

63.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.550

69.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

64.0 Reséndiz Confidence Low 0.460

66.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

74.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

59.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

61.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.520

68.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring IQ Adaptability

68.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.600

73.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

58.0 Reséndiz Confidence Low 0.420

64.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

63.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

72.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.670

72.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Reséndiz: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Mazoudier: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Reséndiz Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

10.0 Reséndiz Confidence Low 0.360

29.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

28.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.620

10.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.570

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.640

35.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Reséndiz Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Mazoudier Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Reséndiz vs orthodox  ·  Mazoudier vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Reséndiz Confidence Medium 0.600

32.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Reséndiz

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Reséndiz

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Reséndiz

66.67 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3

87.28 Reséndiz

54 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5

40 Reséndiz

85 Mazoudier

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

60.78 Reséndiz

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

32.35 Reséndiz

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Reséndiz

66.67 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

87.28 Reséndiz

54.05 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Reséndiz

85 Mazoudier

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Reséndiz stays in class.

Mazoudier moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Reséndiz.

Advantage: Reséndiz

Height Reach Delta

Reséndiz height: 180.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Mazoudier height: 182.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Mazoudier.

Advantage: Mazoudier +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Reséndiz vs orthodox: 58.0

Mazoudier vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Mazoudier.

Advantage: Mazoudier

Style Interaction

Reséndiz style: Boxer Puncher

Mazoudier style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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