José García vs Elijah Garcia

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2023-09-30

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

García vs Garcia 30 Sep 2023 Result: Garcia Historical Pick 68.48% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Elijah Garcia (TKO)

Model pick Elijah Garcia 68.48%

Prediction result Correct

García odds 4.0000

Garcia odds 1.2899

García implied 25.00%

Garcia implied 77.53%

Pick odds 1.2899

Pick implied 77.53%

Expected return 0.8833

ROI -11.67%

Edge -9.05%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:21:48 UTC

Fighter details

José García

Score 56.60 · 16-4-0 (11 KO)

Full name José Armando Reséndiz García

Age 27 · Rank #371 · Confidence Medium 0.535

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 175cm · MX

WBA Super middleweight WBC Super middleweight

Elijah Garcia

Score 63.07 · 17-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Elijah Lorenzo Garcia

Age 23 · Rank #289 · Confidence Medium 0.560

Stance Southpaw · H/R 183cm / 180cm · US

José García

Full name: José Armando Reséndiz García
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #371
Current model score: 56.60
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.535
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 175cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 16-4-0 (11 KO)

World titles

WBA Super middleweight WBC Super middleweight

30 Sep 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Garcia

Historical

32% García

68% Garcia

Fight result: Elijah Garcia (TKO)
Model pick: Elijah Garcia 68.48%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 68.48%
Market odds: 1.2899
Implied probability: 77.53%
Expected ROI (1u): -11.67%
Value edge: -9.05%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:21:48 UTC

Elijah Garcia

Full name: Elijah Lorenzo Garcia
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #289
Current model score: 63.07
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.560
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 183cm / 180cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 17-1-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 García Confidence Medium 0.710

75.2 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

63.0 García Confidence Medium 0.500

66.9 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

60.0 García Confidence Low 0.380

70.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

74.0 García Confidence Medium 0.640

81.6 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

55.0 García Confidence Medium 0.560

66.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

58.0 García Confidence Low 0.470

64.7 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.550

Ring Iq Adaptability

66.0 García Confidence Medium 0.580

62.1 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

54.0 García Confidence Low 0.390

62.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

59.0 García Confidence Medium 0.550

76.9 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.530

Cardio Engine

70.0 García Confidence Medium 0.660

73.2 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile García: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Garcia: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

28.0 García Confidence Medium 0.530

24.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

10.0 García Confidence Low 0.390

10.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

24.0 García Confidence Medium 0.580

26.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.640

Boxer Puncher

30.0 García Confidence Medium 0.630

32.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

8.0 García Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Advantage García Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Garcia Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 García Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

38.0 García Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 García

66.67 Garcia

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 García

33.33 Garcia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 García

0 Garcia

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.65 García

62.11 Garcia

Trend Score Last 5

60 García

80 Garcia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

77.08 García

83.33 Garcia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.92 García

56.67 Garcia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 García

0 Garcia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.65 García

62.11 Garcia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 García

90 Garcia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

García stays in class.

Garcia moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage García.

Advantage: García

Reach vs Height Delta

García reach: 175.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: -5.0cm

Garcia reach: 180.3cm height: 183.0cm delta: -2.7cm

Interaction: low advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia

Stance Interaction

García advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Garcia advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia

Style Interaction

García style: Boxer Puncher

Garcia style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral