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Charlo vs Mazoudier 26 Jul 2026 Model pick: Charlo Locked prediction 76.83% ROI: -19.32% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Jermall Charlo 76.83%

Charlo odds 1.0500

Mazoudier odds 11.0000

Charlo implied 95.24%

Mazoudier implied 9.09%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.8068

ROI -19.32%

Edge -18.40%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-15 01:45:57 UTC

Fighter details
JC
Jermall Charlo

Score 70.80 · 34-0-0 (23 KO)

Full name Jermall Charlo

Age 36 · Rank #81 · Confidence Medium 0.645

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 188cm · US

KM
Koen Mazoudier

Score 61.64 · 15-4-1 (6 KO)

Full name Koen Mazoudier

Age 30 · Rank #335 · Confidence Medium 0.579

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 180cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Charlo Confidence High 0.800

63.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

79.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.680

69.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

78.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.630

66.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

70.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

80.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.720

61.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

78.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.670

67.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

82.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.740

74.0 Mazoudier Confidence High 0.750

Counter Punching

77.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

81.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.640

58.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

74.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.690

73.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Charlo: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Mazoudier: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Charlo Confidence Low 0.430

18.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.370

Out-Boxer

24.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.640

27.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

18.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.600

10.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Charlo Confidence High 0.780

35.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Charlo Confidence Low 0.350

10.0 Mazoudier Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Charlo vs orthodox  ·  Mazoudier vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.660

58.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.660

42.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Charlo

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Charlo

66.67 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3

56 Charlo

73.44 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5

100 Charlo

85 Mazoudier

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.15 Charlo

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Charlo

66.67 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56 Charlo

73.44 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Charlo

85 Mazoudier

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Charlo stays in class.

Mazoudier moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Charlo.

Advantage: Charlo

Height Reach Delta

Charlo height: 183.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Mazoudier height: 182.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Charlo.

Advantage: Charlo +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Charlo vs orthodox: 62.0

Mazoudier vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Charlo style: Boxer Puncher

Mazoudier style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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