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Charlo vs Mazoudier 17 Oct 2026 Model pick: Charlo Locked prediction 77.19% ROI: -17.99% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Jermall Charlo 77.19%

Charlo odds 1.0625

Mazoudier odds 7.6000

Charlo implied 94.12%

Mazoudier implied 13.16%

Market odds 1.0625

Implied probability 94.12%

Expected return 0.8201

ROI -17.99%

Edge -16.93%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-21 07:51:54 UTC

Fighter details
JC
Jermall Charlo

Score 69.69 · 34-0-0 (23 KO)

Full name Jermall Charlo

Age 36 · Rank #103 · Confidence Medium 0.630

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 188cm · US

KM
Koen Mazoudier

Score 57.63 · 16-4-1 (6 KO)

Full name Koen Mazoudier

Age 31 · Rank #588 · Confidence Medium 0.569

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 180cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Charlo Confidence High 0.750

63.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.660

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.650

66.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

76.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.600

64.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

68.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.700

68.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

79.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.650

58.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.650

61.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring IQ Adaptability

81.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.700

70.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

80.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.650

57.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

82.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.550

54.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.650

Cardio Engine

72.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.650

69.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Charlo: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Mazoudier: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Charlo Confidence Low 0.460

18.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.380

Out-Boxer

22.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.630

26.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.570

Power Slugger

20.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.620

8.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.690

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Charlo Confidence High 0.780

34.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Charlo Confidence Low 0.390

14.0 Mazoudier Confidence Low 0.290

Stance Interaction Charlo vs orthodox  ·  Mazoudier vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.640

32.0 Mazoudier Confidence Medium 0.550

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Charlo

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3

53.33 Charlo

54.67 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5

100 Charlo

85 Mazoudier

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.15 Charlo

33.33 Mazoudier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Charlo

100 Mazoudier

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

53.33 Charlo

54.67 Mazoudier

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Charlo

85 Mazoudier

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Charlo stays in class.

Mazoudier moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Charlo.

Advantage: Charlo

Height Reach Delta

Charlo height: 183.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Mazoudier height: 182.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Charlo.

Advantage: Charlo +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Charlo vs orthodox: 62.0

Mazoudier vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Mazoudier.

Advantage: Mazoudier

Style Interaction

Charlo style: Boxer Puncher

Mazoudier style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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