Brad Pauls vs Ryan Kelly

Data as of: 2026-06-02 01:00:39 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Pauls vs Kelly Model lean: Pauls Custom 96.54% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Brad Pauls 96.54%

Pauls odds N/A

Kelly odds N/A

Pauls implied N/A

Kelly implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Brad Pauls

Score 60.82 · 20-2-1 (11 KO)

Full name Brad Pauls

Age 33 · Rank #305 · Confidence Medium 0.575

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / N/A · GB

Ryan Kelly

Score 6.73 · 20-6-1 (8 KO)

Full name Ryan Kelly

Age 32 · Rank #625 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / N/A · GB

Brad Pauls

Full name: Brad Pauls
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #305
Current model score: 60.82
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.575
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-2-1 (11 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Pauls

Custom

97% Pauls

3% Kelly

Model lean: Brad Pauls 96.54%
Win probability: 96.54%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Ryan Kelly

Full name: Ryan Kelly
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #625
Current model score: 6.73
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-6-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.740

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

62.3 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

56.9 Pauls Confidence Low 0.470

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

87.9 Pauls Confidence High 0.800

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

64.4 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

62.8 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.520

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

67.3 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.640

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

58.6 Pauls Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Chin

79.8 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

87.9 Pauls Confidence High 0.820

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Style Profile Pauls: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Kelly: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

30.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

12.0 Pauls Confidence Low 0.380

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

22.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

8.0 Pauls Confidence Low 0.300

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Pauls Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Kelly Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

44.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

56.0 Pauls Confidence Medium 0.560

N/A Kelly Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Pauls

33.33 Kelly

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Pauls

0 Kelly

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Pauls

33.33 Kelly

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.01 Pauls

67.1 Kelly

Trend Score Last 5

70 Pauls

50 Kelly

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.33 Pauls

46.67 Kelly

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Pauls

20 Kelly

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Pauls

33.33 Kelly

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.01 Pauls

67.1 Kelly

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75 Pauls

58.33 Kelly

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Pauls stays in class.

Kelly moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Pauls.

Advantage: Pauls

Height Reach Delta

Pauls height: 178.0cm reach: N/A

Kelly height: 178.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Pauls vs orthodox: 44.0

Kelly vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Pauls style: Pressure Swarmer

Kelly style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral