Jermell Charlo vs Tony Harrison

Data as of: 2026-06-02 04:00:03 UTC Historical As-of 2019-12-21

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Charlo vs Harrison 21 Dec 2019 Result: Charlo Historical Pick 60.23% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jermell Charlo (TKO)

Model pick Tony Harrison 60.23%

Prediction result Incorrect

Charlo odds 1.2857

Harrison odds 4.6000

Charlo implied 77.78%

Harrison implied 21.74%

Pick odds 4.6

Pick implied 21.74%

Expected return 2.7707

ROI 177.07%

Edge 38.49%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:11 UTC

Fighter details

Jermell Charlo

Score 71.59 · 35-2-1 (19 KO)

Full name Jermell DeAvante Charlo

Age 36 · Rank #93 · Confidence Medium 0.671

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 185cm · US

The Ring Super welterweight

Tony Harrison

Score 66.11 · 31-4-1 (22 KO)

Full name Tony Harrison

Age 35 · Rank #188 · Confidence Medium 0.664

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 193cm · US

Jermell Charlo

Full name: Jermell DeAvante Charlo
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #93
Current model score: 71.59
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.671
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 185cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 35-2-1 (19 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super welterweight

21 Dec 2019

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Charlo

Historical

40% Charlo

60% Harrison

Fight result: Jermell Charlo (TKO)
Model pick: Tony Harrison 60.23%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 60.23%
Market odds: 4.6
Implied probability: 21.74%
Expected ROI (1u): 177.07%
Value edge: 38.49%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:06:11 UTC

Tony Harrison

Full name: Tony Harrison
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #188
Current model score: 66.11
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.664
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 193cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 31-4-1 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.4 Charlo Confidence High 0.800

71.1 Harrison Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.680

82.6 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.700

Hand Speed

87.8 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.720

87.9 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

63.5 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.660

47.3 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

79.1 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.670

74.8 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

75.3 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.640

86.3 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.730

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.4 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.740

78.9 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

89.9 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.740

83.6 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

85.1 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.630

47.9 Harrison Confidence High 0.820

Cardio Engine

67.9 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.660

52.1 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Charlo: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Harrison: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.500

10.0 Harrison Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

18.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.680

Power Slugger

20.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.680

18.0 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Charlo Confidence High 0.790

34.0 Harrison Confidence High 0.770

Counter Puncher

13.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Harrison Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Advantage Charlo Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Harrison Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.670

68.0 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Charlo Confidence Medium 0.670

32.0 Harrison Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Charlo

66.67 Harrison

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Charlo

33.33 Harrison

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Charlo

66.67 Harrison

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.36 Charlo

57.68 Harrison

Trend Score Last 5

70 Charlo

73.75 Harrison

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

65.24 Charlo

77.27 Harrison

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.38 Charlo

48.48 Harrison

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Charlo

66.67 Harrison

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.36 Charlo

57.68 Harrison

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75 Charlo

76.88 Harrison

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Charlo stays in class.

Harrison stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Charlo height: 180.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Harrison height: 185.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Harrison.

Advantage: Harrison +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Charlo vs orthodox: 58.0

Harrison vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Harrison.

Advantage: Harrison

Style Interaction

Charlo style: Boxer Puncher

Harrison style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral