OWN YOUR EDGE
Mendoza vs Tellez 28 Mar 2026 Result: Silega Historical result Pick 74.16% Prediction: Correct Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Yoenis Silega (U D)

Historical lean Yoenis Tellez 74.16%

Prediction result Correct

Mendoza odds 3.7500

Tellez odds 1.3846

Mendoza implied 26.67%

Tellez implied 72.22%

Closing odds 1.3846

Closing implied 72.22%

Expected return 1.0268

ROI 2.68%

Edge 1.94%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 18:57:06 UTC

Fighter details
BM
Brian Mendoza

Score 60.20 · 22-4-0 (16 KO)

Full name Brian Marino Mendoza

Age 32 · Rank #340 · Confidence Medium 0.611

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US

YT
Yoenis Tellez

Score 68.17 · 12-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Yoenis Tellez Silega

Age 25 · Rank #123 · Confidence Medium 0.571

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 185cm · CU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.9 Mendoza Confidence High 0.820

83.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

62.7 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

61.7 Mendoza Confidence Low 0.490

77.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

63.3 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.610

74.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

61.5 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.570

75.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

53.1 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.520

78.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.590

Ring Iq Adaptability

65.7 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.640

79.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

83.7 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.700

73.0 Tellez Confidence Low 0.490

Chin

80.9 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Tellez Confidence Low 0.450

Cardio Engine

68.3 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.710

80.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Mendoza: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Tellez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Mendoza Confidence Low 0.490

14.0 Tellez Confidence Low 0.410

Out Boxer

10.0 Mendoza Confidence Low 0.440

19.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

35.0 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.740

21.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

29.0 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.660

33.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

12.0 Mendoza Confidence Low 0.470

13.0 Tellez Confidence Low 0.320

Stance Interaction Mendoza vs orthodox  ·  Tellez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.640

72.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Mendoza Confidence Medium 0.640

28.0 Tellez Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Mendoza

66.67 Tellez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Mendoza

33.33 Tellez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Mendoza

100 Tellez

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.07 Mendoza

62.48 Tellez

Trend Score Last 5

60 Mendoza

80 Tellez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

62.32 Mendoza

83.33 Tellez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

49.28 Mendoza

51.67 Tellez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Mendoza

100 Tellez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.07 Mendoza

62.48 Tellez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Mendoza

90 Tellez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mendoza stays in class.

Tellez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Mendoza height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Tellez height: 178.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Tellez.

Advantage: Tellez +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Mendoza vs orthodox: 68.0

Tellez vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Mendoza style: Power Slugger

Tellez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Tellez.

Advantage: Tellez

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login