Fight result Vergil Ortiz (TKO)
Model pick Erickson Lubin 59.46%
Prediction result Incorrect
Lubin odds 6.7000
Jr. odds 1.1429
Lubin implied 14.93%
Jr. implied 87.50%
Pick odds 6.7
Pick implied 14.93%
Expected return 3.9836
ROI 298.36%
Edge 44.53%
Lean Value
Bout Historical
Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:10 UTC
Score 67.65 · 27-3-0 (19 KO)
Full name Erickson Lubin
Age 30 · Rank #146 · Confidence Medium 0.654
Stance Southpaw · H/R 177cm / 189cm · US
Score 74.68 · 24-0-0 (22 KO)
Full name Vergil Ortiz Jr.
Age 28 · Rank #35 · Confidence Medium 0.610
Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Lubin stays in class.
Jr. moves up 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Lubin.
Advantage: Lubin
Height Reach Delta
Lubin height: 177.0cm reach: 189.0cm
Jr. height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Lubin.
Advantage: Lubin +10.0cm
Stance Interaction
Lubin vs orthodox: 62.0
Jr. vs southpaw: 42.0
Interaction: medium advantage Lubin.
Advantage: Lubin
Style Interaction
Lubin style: Boxer Puncher
Jr. style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
