Fight result Vergil Ortiz (U D)
Model pick Israil Madrimov 50.06%
Prediction result Incorrect
Madrimov odds 2.1000
Jr. odds 1.9524
Madrimov implied 47.62%
Jr. implied 51.22%
Pick odds 2.1
Pick implied 47.62%
Expected return 1.0513
ROI 5.13%
Edge 2.44%
Lean Value
Bout Historical
Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:08 UTC
Score 73.37 · 11-2-1 (7 KO)
Full name Israil Madrimov
Age 31 · Rank #68 · Confidence Medium 0.619
Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 174cm · UZ
Score 75.54 · 24-0-0 (22 KO)
Full name Vergil Ortiz Jr.
Age 28 · Rank #39 · Confidence Medium 0.610
Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Madrimov moves up 1 classes.
Jr. moves up 2 classes.
Interaction: low advantage Madrimov.
Advantage: Madrimov
Reach vs Height Delta
Madrimov reach: 174.0cm height: 174.0cm delta: 0.0cm
Jr. reach: 178.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 0.0cm
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Stance Interaction
Madrimov advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Jr. advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Madrimov
Style Interaction
Madrimov style: Boxer Puncher
Jr. style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
