Xander Zayas vs Ernesto Suarez

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Zayas vs Suarez Model lean: Zayas Custom 82.18% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Xander Zayas 82.18%

Zayas odds N/A

Suarez odds N/A

Zayas implied N/A

Suarez implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Xander Zayas

Score 79.67 · 23-0-0 (13 KO)

Full name Xander Yarob Zayas Castro

Age 23 · Rank #11 · Confidence Medium 0.625

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · PR

WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

Ernesto Suarez

Score 60.59 · 27-3-0 (13 KO)

Full name Ernesto Damian Sosa Suarez

Age 29 · Rank #303 · Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 182cm · MX

Xander Zayas

Full name: Xander Yarob Zayas Castro
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #11
Current model score: 79.67
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.625
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 23-0-0 (13 KO)

World titles

WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Zayas

Custom

82% Zayas

18% Suarez

Model lean: Xander Zayas 82.18%
Win probability: 82.18%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Ernesto Suarez

Full name: Ernesto Damian Sosa Suarez
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #303
Current model score: 60.59
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.550
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 182cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 27-3-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Zayas Confidence High 0.760

66.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.670

70.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

92.1 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.620

64.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

82.7 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

92.3 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.710

67.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.690

69.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.730

71.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

87.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.550

63.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

87.4 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

87.9 Zayas Confidence High 0.770

74.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Zayas: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Suarez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.420

14.0 Suarez Confidence Low 0.310

Out Boxer

24.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.630

26.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

18.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.580

12.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Zayas Confidence High 0.770

38.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

10.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.330

10.0 Suarez Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Advantage Zayas Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Suarez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Suarez Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Zayas

66.67 Suarez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Zayas

33.33 Suarez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Zayas

33.33 Suarez

Opponent Rating Last 3

63.85 Zayas

68.41 Suarez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Zayas

80 Suarez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Zayas

73.33 Suarez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

46.67 Zayas

33.33 Suarez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Zayas

33.33 Suarez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

63.85 Zayas

68.41 Suarez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Zayas

80 Suarez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Zayas stays in class.

Suarez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Zayas height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Suarez height: 175.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Zayas.

Advantage: Zayas +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Zayas vs orthodox: 58.0

Suarez vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral (Suarez +4.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Zayas style: Boxer Puncher

Suarez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral