Josh Kelly vs Troy Williamson

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Kelly vs Williamson Model lean: Kelly Custom 77.90% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Josh Kelly 77.90%

Kelly odds N/A

Williamson odds N/A

Kelly implied N/A

Williamson implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Josh Kelly

Score 76.46 · 18-1-1 (9 KO)

Full name Joshua Kelly

Age 32 · Rank #28 · Confidence Medium 0.667

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 183cm · GB

IBF Super welterweight

Troy Williamson

Score 56.29 · 22-4-1 (16 KO)

Full name Troy Williamson

Age 34 · Rank #367 · Confidence Medium 0.519

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / N/A · GB

Josh Kelly

Full name: Joshua Kelly
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #28
Current model score: 76.46
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.667
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 183cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 18-1-1 (9 KO)

World titles

IBF Super welterweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Kelly

Custom

78% Kelly

22% Williamson

Model lean: Josh Kelly 77.90%
Win probability: 77.90%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Troy Williamson

Full name: Troy Williamson
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #367
Current model score: 56.29
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.519
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 22-4-1 (16 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.3 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.720

78.0 Williamson Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Kelly Confidence High 0.770

64.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.490

Hand Speed

92.1 Kelly Confidence High 0.790

58.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

65.5 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

85.1 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.690

56.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.450

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Kelly Confidence High 0.770

55.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.430

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.8 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.720

60.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.470

Counter Punching

92.1 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.730

52.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.340

Chin

71.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.580

70.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.540

Cardio Engine

85.8 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Kelly: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Williamson: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Kelly Confidence Low 0.450

24.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.530

Out Boxer

34.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.730

10.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.340

Power Slugger

12.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.580

28.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.720

30.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

16.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.500

8.0 Williamson Confidence Low 0.250

Stance Advantage Kelly Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Williamson Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.620

68.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Kelly Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Williamson Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Kelly

66.67 Williamson

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Kelly

66.67 Williamson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Kelly

66.67 Williamson

Opponent Rating Last 3

58.77 Kelly

63.97 Williamson

Trend Score Last 5

100 Kelly

70 Williamson

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Kelly

75 Williamson

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

40.2 Kelly

66.67 Williamson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Kelly

66.67 Williamson

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

58.77 Kelly

63.97 Williamson

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Kelly

75 Williamson

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Kelly stays in class.

Williamson moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Kelly.

Advantage: Kelly

Reach vs Height Delta

Kelly reach: 183.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Williamson reach: N/A height: 180.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Kelly advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Williamson advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Williamson.

Advantage: Williamson

Style Interaction

Kelly style: Out Boxer

Williamson style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral