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Barrios vs Pacquiao 19 Jul 2025 Model lean: Barrios Custom 72.10% ROI: -3.87% Tap to expand Analysis
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Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Mario Barrios 72.10%

Barrios odds 1.3333

Pacquiao odds 3.8500

Barrios implied 75.00%

Pacquiao implied 25.97%

Pick odds 1.3333

Pick implied 75.00%

Expected return 0.9613

ROI -3.87%

Edge -2.90%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:54:49 UTC

Fighter details
MB
Mario Barrios

Score 63.07 · 29-3-2 (18 KO)

Full name Mario Thomas Barrios

Age 31 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.616

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 188cm · US

Manny Pacquiao
Manny Pacquiao

Score 56.66 · 62-8-3 (39 KO)

Full name Emmanuel Dapidran Pacquiao

Age 47 · Rank #415 · Confidence Medium 0.665

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 170cm · PH

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

66.7 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

63.9 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.580

75.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

70.8 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.560

70.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

69.1 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

69.7 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.620

69.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

78.0 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.680

71.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.6 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.690

83.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

70.5 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.520

77.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.660

Chin

73.6 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.700

71.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

77.5 Barrios Confidence High 0.760

73.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.590

Style Profile Barrios: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Pacquiao: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Barrios Confidence Low 0.470

35.0 Pacquiao Confidence High 0.830

Out Boxer

24.0 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

18.0 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.580

17.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Barrios Confidence High 0.750

28.0 Pacquiao Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

8.0 Barrios Confidence Low 0.340

12.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.690

Stance Advantage Barrios Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Pacquiao Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.620

78.0 Pacquiao Confidence High 0.800

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Barrios Confidence Medium 0.620

22.0 Pacquiao Confidence Medium 0.540

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.05 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Trend Score Last 5

60 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

46.77 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

29.03 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.05 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Barrios

N/A Pacquiao

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Barrios stays in class.

Pacquiao moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Barrios.

Advantage: Barrios

Height Reach Delta

Barrios height: 183.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Pacquiao height: 165.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Barrios.

Advantage: Barrios +36.0cm

Stance Interaction

Barrios vs southpaw: 38.0

Pacquiao vs orthodox: 78.0

Interaction: medium advantage Pacquiao.

Advantage: Pacquiao

Style Interaction

Barrios style: Boxer Puncher

Pacquiao style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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