Shakhram Giyasov vs Jack Catterall

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Time-safe As-of 2026-05-23

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Giyasov vs Catterall 23 May 2026 Result: Catterall Time-safe Pick 58.10% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jack Catterall (U D)

Model pick Shakhram Giyasov 58.10%

Prediction result Incorrect

Giyasov odds 2.5000

Catterall odds 1.5000

Giyasov implied 40.00%

Catterall implied 66.67%

Pick odds 1.5

Pick implied 66.67%

Expected return 0.7525

ROI -24.75%

Edge -16.50%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:06 UTC

Fighter details

Shakhram Giyasov

Score 67.86 · 17-1-0 (10 KO)

Full name Shakhram Djamshedovich Giyasov

Age 32 · Rank #130 · Confidence Medium 0.615

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 176cm · UZ

Jack Catterall

Score 73.17 · 33-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Jack Catterall

Age 32 · Rank #39 · Confidence Medium 0.702

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Shakhram Giyasov

Full name: Shakhram Djamshedovich Giyasov
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #130
Current model score: 67.86
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.615
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 177cm / 176cm
Nationality: UZ
Career snapshot: 17-1-0 (10 KO)

23 May 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Catterall

Time-safe

50% Giyasov

50% Catterall

Fight result: Jack Catterall (U D)
Model pick: Shakhram Giyasov 58.10%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 58.10%
Market odds: 1.5
Implied probability: 66.67%
Expected ROI (1u): -24.75%
Value edge: -16.50%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-06-01 14:30:06 UTC

Jack Catterall

Full name: Jack Catterall
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #39
Current model score: 73.17
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.702
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 33-2-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Giyasov Confidence High 0.750

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.660

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

Hand Speed

81.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.680

77.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

74.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.640

69.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.690

Defensive Skill

72.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.630

84.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.800

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.680

81.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.750

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.720

86.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.810

Counter Punching

75.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.600

83.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

Chin

73.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.550

79.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

78.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.670

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Giyasov: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Catterall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Giyasov Confidence Low 0.460

8.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.440

Out Boxer

18.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.550

34.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

Power Slugger

20.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.580

10.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.720

30.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

12.0 Giyasov Confidence Low 0.340

18.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.490

Stance Advantage Giyasov Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Catterall Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.610

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Giyasov Confidence Medium 0.610

32.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Giyasov

100 Catterall

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Giyasov

33.33 Catterall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Giyasov

100 Catterall

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.86 Giyasov

79.63 Catterall

Trend Score Last 5

60 Giyasov

85 Catterall

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Giyasov

100 Catterall

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

44.79 Giyasov

36.36 Catterall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Giyasov

100 Catterall

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.86 Giyasov

79.63 Catterall

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Giyasov

85 Catterall

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Giyasov stays in class.

Catterall stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Giyasov height: 177.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Catterall height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Giyasov.

Advantage: Giyasov +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Giyasov vs southpaw: 42.0

Catterall vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Catterall.

Advantage: Catterall

Style Interaction

Giyasov style: Boxer Puncher

Catterall style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral