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Sasaki vs Ssemujju 21 Sep 2026 Result: Sasaki Time-safe result Pick 55.31% Prediction: Incorrect Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jin Sasaki

Pre-fight pick David Ssemujju 55.31%

Prediction result Incorrect

Sasaki odds 1.0769

Ssemujju odds 6.8000

Sasaki implied 92.86%

Ssemujju implied 14.71%

Pre-fight odds 6.8

Pre-fight implied 14.71%

Expected return 3.7607

ROI 276.07%

Edge 40.60%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-11 13:26:40 UTC

Fighter details
JS
Jin Sasaki

Score 65.61 · 21-2-1 (18 KO)

Full name Jin Sasaki

Age 25 · Rank #222 · Confidence Medium 0.642

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 176cm · JP

DS
David Ssemujju

Score 63.94 · 9-1-1 (5 KO)

Full name David Kavuma Ssemujju

Age 33 · Rank #307 · Confidence Medium 0.545

Stance N/A · H/R 175cm / 180cm · UG

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Sasaki Confidence High 0.890

77.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.620

71.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

81.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.700

74.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

58.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.730

69.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.580

73.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

71.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

66.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.500

67.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

54.0 Sasaki Confidence High 0.760

72.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.490

Cardio Engine

73.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.680

80.0 Ssemujju Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Sasaki: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Ssemujju: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.520

18.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

10.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

36.0 Sasaki Confidence High 0.780

14.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.450

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.660

34.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Sasaki Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Ssemujju Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Sasaki vs unknown stance  ·  Ssemujju vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.680

28.0 Ssemujju Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Sasaki

66.67 Ssemujju

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Sasaki

33.33 Ssemujju

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Sasaki

33.33 Ssemujju

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.65 Sasaki

61.98 Ssemujju

Trend Score Last 5

85 Sasaki

90 Ssemujju

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Sasaki

76.19 Ssemujju

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.3 Sasaki

38.1 Ssemujju

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Sasaki

33.33 Ssemujju

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.65 Sasaki

61.98 Ssemujju

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Sasaki

90 Ssemujju

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Sasaki stays in class.

Ssemujju stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Sasaki height: 174.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Ssemujju height: 175.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Ssemujju.

Advantage: Ssemujju +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Sasaki vs unknown stance: N/A

Ssemujju vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Sasaki style: Power Slugger

Ssemujju style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Ssemujju.

Advantage: Ssemujju

Model: FiteQuant

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