Raul Curiel vs Jordan Panthen

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2026-01-16

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Curiel vs Panthen 16 Jan 2026 Result: García Historical Pick 65.50% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Raúl García (U D)

Model pick Raul Curiel 65.50%

Prediction result Correct

Curiel odds 1.0833

Panthen odds 10.0000

Curiel implied 92.31%

Panthen implied 10.00%

Pick odds 1.0833

Pick implied 92.31%

Expected return 0.7096

ROI -29.04%

Edge -26.81%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:57:49 UTC

Fighter details

Raul Curiel

Score 66.98 · 17-0-1 (14 KO)

Full name Raúl Curiel García

Age 30 · Rank #144 · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

Jordan Panthen

Score 55.68 · 11-2-0 (9 KO)

Full name Jordan Henry Panthen

Age 29 · Rank #403 · Confidence Low 0.493

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 170cm · US

Raul Curiel

Full name: Raúl Curiel García
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #144
Current model score: 66.98
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.546
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 178cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 17-0-1 (14 KO)

16 Jan 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

García

Historical

66% Curiel

34% Panthen

Fight result: Raúl García (U D)
Model pick: Raul Curiel 65.50%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 65.50%
Market odds: 1.0833
Implied probability: 92.31%
Expected ROI (1u): -29.04%
Value edge: -26.81%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:57:49 UTC

Jordan Panthen

Full name: Jordan Henry Panthen
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #403
Current model score: 55.68
Fighter confidence: Low 0.493
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 11-2-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Curiel Confidence High 0.760

78.0 Panthen Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

80.9 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.590

66.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.470

Hand Speed

75.6 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.520

61.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.340

Pace Pressure

72.8 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.570

70.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

74.4 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.500

56.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.440

Distance Footwork Control

75.6 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.530

54.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.390

Ring Iq Adaptability

77.7 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.600

58.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.460

Counter Punching

75.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.460

52.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.310

Chin

76.6 Curiel Confidence Low 0.470

68.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

79.4 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.640

72.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.650

Style Profile Curiel: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Panthen: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.430

18.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

10.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.390

14.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

31.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.650

34.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.670

26.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

7.0 Curiel Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Curiel Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Panthen Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.610

78.0 Panthen Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Curiel Confidence Medium 0.610

22.0 Panthen Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Curiel

33.33 Panthen

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Curiel

0 Panthen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Curiel

66.67 Panthen

Opponent Rating Last 3

56.72 Curiel

69.89 Panthen

Trend Score Last 5

90 Curiel

60 Panthen

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Curiel

66.67 Panthen

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

60 Curiel

45 Panthen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Curiel

66.67 Panthen

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.72 Curiel

69.89 Panthen

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Curiel

80 Panthen

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Curiel moves up 2 classes.

Panthen moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Panthen.

Advantage: Panthen

Height Reach Delta

Curiel height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Panthen height: 175.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Curiel.

Advantage: Curiel +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Curiel vs orthodox: 42.0

Panthen vs orthodox: 78.0

Interaction: medium advantage Panthen.

Advantage: Panthen (Panthen +36.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Curiel style: Boxer Puncher

Panthen style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Curiel.

Advantage: Curiel