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Garcia vs Randall 01 Aug 2026 Model pick: Randall Locked prediction 51.95% ROI: 222.08% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Quinton Randall 51.95%

Garcia odds 1.1000

Randall odds 6.2000

Garcia implied 90.91%

Randall implied 16.13%

Market odds 6.2

Implied probability 16.13%

Expected return 3.2208

ROI 222.08%

Edge 35.82%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-29 01:46:30 UTC

Fighter details
RG
Raúl Garcia

Score 66.31 · 15-0-0 (14 KO)

Full name Raúl Curiel Garcia

Age 30 · Rank #204 · Confidence Medium 0.516

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · MX

QR
Quinton Randall

Score 53.26 · 17-3-1 (4 KO)

Full name Quinton Nathaniel Randall

Age N/A · Rank #603 · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 182cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

43.0 Randall Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.540

63.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

74.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.450

67.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

79.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.600

58.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.470

Defensive Skill

73.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.500

62.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.530

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.460

64.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring IQ Adaptability

77.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

71.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.420

57.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.350

Chin

75.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.490

69.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

78.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.610

72.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.650

Style Profile Garcia: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Randall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.380

14.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

12.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.340

43.0 Randall Confidence High 0.750

Power Slugger

30.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

6.0 Randall Confidence High 0.870

Boxer-Puncher

32.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

25.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.250

12.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Garcia vs orthodox  ·  Randall vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Randall Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Randall Confidence Low 0.330

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Garcia

66.67 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Garcia

0 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Garcia

0 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.38 Garcia

59.57 Randall

Trend Score Last 5

90 Garcia

55 Randall

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Garcia

73.96 Randall

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

60 Garcia

9.38 Randall

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Garcia

0 Randall

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.38 Garcia

59.57 Randall

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Garcia

77.5 Randall

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Garcia moves up 1 class.

Randall moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia

Height Reach Delta

Garcia height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Randall height: 180.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Randall.

Advantage: Randall +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Garcia vs orthodox: 72.0

Randall vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Garcia style: Boxer Puncher

Randall style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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