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Romero vs Garcia 02 May 2025 Result: Moreno Historical Pick 80.46% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Rolando Moreno (U D)

Model pick Ryan Garcia 80.46%

Prediction result Incorrect

Romero odds 8.0000

Garcia odds 1.1000

Romero implied 12.50%

Garcia implied 90.91%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.8851

ROI -11.49%

Edge -10.45%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:32 UTC

Fighter details
Rolando Romero
Rolando Romero

Score 47.61 · 17-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Rolando Florencio Romero Moreno

Age 30 · Rank #506 · Confidence Medium 0.589

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

WBA Welterweight
Ryan Garcia
Ryan Garcia

Score 68.00 · 25-2-0 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Garcia

Age 27 · Rank #126 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

WBC Welterweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Romero Confidence High 0.760

84.5 Garcia Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

42.7 Romero Confidence Medium 0.560

82.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

63.8 Romero Confidence Medium 0.530

92.1 Garcia Confidence High 0.840

Pace Pressure

52.8 Romero Confidence Medium 0.610

66.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

42.5 Romero Confidence Medium 0.660

70.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

45.6 Romero Confidence Medium 0.550

77.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

Ring Iq Adaptability

47.6 Romero Confidence Medium 0.580

64.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

52.7 Romero Confidence Low 0.490

92.1 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

Chin

44.2 Romero Confidence Medium 0.630

63.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

51.7 Romero Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Romero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Garcia: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.460

8.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

12.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.500

18.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

38.0 Romero Confidence High 0.790

34.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

25.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.620

28.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

10.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.430

Stance Advantage Romero Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Garcia Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.670

38.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.670

62.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Romero

66.67 Garcia

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Romero

33.33 Garcia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Romero

66.67 Garcia

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.4 Romero

69.22 Garcia

Trend Score Last 5

70 Romero

60 Garcia

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.21 Romero

81.25 Garcia

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

40.63 Romero

56.25 Garcia

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Romero

66.67 Garcia

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.4 Romero

69.22 Garcia

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Romero

80 Garcia

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Romero stays in class.

Garcia stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Romero height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Garcia height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Romero vs orthodox: 62.0

Garcia vs orthodox: 38.0

Interaction: medium advantage Romero.

Advantage: Romero

Style Interaction

Romero style: Power Slugger

Garcia style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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