Jack Catterall vs Regis Prograis

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2024-10-26

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Catterall vs Prograis 26 Oct 2024 Result: Catterall Historical Pick 50.82% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jack Catterall (U D)

Model pick Jack Catterall 50.82%

Prediction result Correct

Catterall odds 1.2857

Prograis odds 4.4000

Catterall implied 77.78%

Prograis implied 22.73%

Pick odds 1.2857

Pick implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.6534

ROI -34.66%

Edge -26.96%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:31 UTC

Fighter details

Jack Catterall

Score 72.50 · 33-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Jack Catterall

Age 32 · Rank #39 · Confidence Medium 0.702

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Regis Prograis

Score 70.14 · 30-4-0 (24 KO)

Full name Regis Prograis

Age 37 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.637

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 170cm · US

Jack Catterall

Full name: Jack Catterall
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #39
Current model score: 72.50
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.702
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 33-2-0 (14 KO)

26 Oct 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Catterall

Historical

51% Catterall

49% Prograis

Fight result: Jack Catterall (U D)
Model pick: Jack Catterall 50.82%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 50.82%
Market odds: 1.2857
Implied probability: 77.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -34.66%
Value edge: -26.96%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:11:31 UTC

Regis Prograis

Full name: Regis Prograis
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #4
Current model score: 70.14
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.637
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-4-0 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

87.0 Prograis Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

77.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

77.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.670

81.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.610

Pace Pressure

69.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.690

84.0 Prograis Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

84.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.800

71.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.750

73.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.810

76.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

83.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

78.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

79.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.720

79.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.650

Cardio Engine

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.780

80.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Catterall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Prograis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.440

18.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.590

Out Boxer

34.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

8.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

10.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.660

33.0 Prograis Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

29.0 Prograis Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

18.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.490

12.0 Prograis Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Catterall Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Prograis Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

62.0 Prograis Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

38.0 Prograis Confidence Low 0.410

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Catterall

33.33 Prograis

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Catterall

0 Prograis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Catterall

100 Prograis

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.63 Catterall

82.46 Prograis

Trend Score Last 5

85 Catterall

20 Prograis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Catterall

61.98 Prograis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.36 Catterall

37.5 Prograis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Catterall

100 Prograis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.63 Catterall

82.46 Prograis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Catterall

60 Prograis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Catterall moves down 1 class.

Prograis stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Prograis.

Advantage: Prograis

Height Reach Delta

Catterall height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Prograis height: 173.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Prograis.

Advantage: Prograis +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Catterall vs southpaw: 32.0

Prograis vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: low advantage Prograis.

Advantage: Prograis

Style Interaction

Catterall style: Out Boxer

Prograis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Catterall.

Advantage: Catterall