Ryan Garcia vs Gervonta Davis

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Welterweight. Change this if needed.

Garcia vs Davis 22 Apr 2023 Winner: Davis 71.95% ROI: 11.48% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Welterweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Garcia odds 3.3000

Davis odds 1.5495

Garcia implied 30.30%

Davis implied 64.54%

Pick odds 1.5495

Pick implied 64.54%

Expected return 1.1148

ROI 11.48%

Edge 7.41%

Lean Value

2026-04-10 13:00:21 UTC

Fighter details

Ryan Garcia

Score 69.03 · 25-2-0 (20 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #111 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Gervonta Davis

Score 85.15 · 30-0-1 (28 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 171cm · US

Ryan Garcia

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #111
Current model score: 69.03
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.661
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-2-0 (20 KO)

22 Apr 2023

Projected Win Split

Winner

Davis

28% Garcia

72% Davis

Win probability: 71.95%
Market odds: 1.5495
Implied probability: 64.54%
Expected ROI (1u): 11.48%
Value edge: 7.41%
Lean assessment: Value

2026-04-10 13:00:21 UTC

Gervonta Davis

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #4
Current model score: 85.15
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.701
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 30-0-1 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Garcia Confidence High 0.850

97.3 Davis Confidence High 0.930

Punching Accuracy

82.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.670

95.6 Davis Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

92.1 Garcia Confidence High 0.840

95.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.730

Pace Pressure

66.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.600

78.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

70.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

93.8 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

93.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

93.2 Davis Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

92.1 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

96.9 Davis Confidence High 0.810

Chin

63.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

88.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

68.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

83.3 Davis Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Garcia: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Davis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

18.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

7.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

34.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.780

43.0 Davis Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

24.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

12.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.430

18.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.600

Stance Advantage Garcia Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Davis Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

38.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

62.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

62.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

38.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

0 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.22 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

74.49 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

60 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

90 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.25 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

83.33 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.25 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

79.76 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

0 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.22 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

74.49 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Garcia Confidence High 1.000

95 Davis Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Garcia stays in class.

Davis moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia

Reach vs Height Delta

Garcia reach: 178.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Davis reach: 171.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Davis.

Advantage: Davis

Stance Interaction

Garcia advantage against southpaw: 62.0

Davis advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Garcia style: Power Slugger

Davis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral