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Garcia vs Davis 22 Apr 2023 Result: Davis Historical Pick 52.82% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Time-safe prediction uses a neutral weight-class factor until a confirmed bout class is available.

Bout details

Fight result Gervonta Davis (KO)

Model pick Gervonta Davis 52.82%

Prediction result Correct

Garcia odds 3.3000

Davis odds 1.5495

Garcia implied 30.30%

Davis implied 64.54%

Pick odds 1.5495

Pick implied 64.54%

Expected return 0.8184

ROI -18.16%

Edge -11.72%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:00:21 UTC

Fighter details
Ryan Garcia
Ryan Garcia

Score 69.07 · 25-2-0 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Garcia

Age 27 · Rank #126 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

WBC Welterweight
Gervonta Davis
Gervonta Davis

Score 84.55 · 30-0-1 (28 KO)

Full name Gervonta Bryant Davis

Age 31 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 171cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Garcia Confidence High 0.850

97.3 Davis Confidence High 0.930

Punching Accuracy

82.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.670

95.6 Davis Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

92.1 Garcia Confidence High 0.840

95.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.730

Pace Pressure

66.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.600

78.2 Davis Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

70.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

93.8 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

93.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.3 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

93.2 Davis Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

92.1 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

96.9 Davis Confidence High 0.810

Chin

63.4 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

88.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

68.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

83.3 Davis Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Garcia: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Davis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

18.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

7.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

34.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.780

43.0 Davis Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

24.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

12.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.430

18.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.600

Stance Advantage Garcia Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Davis Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

38.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

62.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

62.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

38.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Garcia

66.67 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Garcia

66.67 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Garcia

0 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.22 Garcia

74.49 Davis

Trend Score Last 5

60 Garcia

90 Davis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.25 Garcia

83.33 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.25 Garcia

79.76 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Garcia

0 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.22 Garcia

74.49 Davis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Garcia

95 Davis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

No confirmed bout class is available.

Weight-class factor is neutral for this time-safe prediction.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Garcia height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Davis height: 165.0cm reach: 171.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia +17.0cm

Stance Interaction

Garcia vs southpaw: 62.0

Davis vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Garcia style: Power Slugger

Davis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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