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Garcia vs Benn 13 Sep 2026 Model pick: Garcia Locked prediction 52.25% ROI: -34.69% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Ryan Garcia 52.25%

Garcia odds 1.2500

Benn odds 3.8000

Garcia implied 80.00%

Benn implied 26.32%

Market odds 1.25

Implied probability 80.00%

Expected return 0.6531

ROI -34.69%

Edge -27.75%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

WBC

Welterweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 11:33:32 UTC

Fighter details
Ryan Garcia
Ryan Garcia

Score 67.72 · 25-2-0 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Garcia

Age 28 · Rank #141 · Confidence Medium 0.651

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 178cm · US

WBC Welterweight
CB
Conor Benn

Score 66.22 · 25-1-0 (14 KO)

Full name Conor Nigel Benn

Age 29 · Rank #189 · Confidence Medium 0.622

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.800

79.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.680

71.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

92.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.820

78.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

66.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.620

80.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

63.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.660

66.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.640

69.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

71.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.610

74.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

84.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

68.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.540

Chin

58.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.690

76.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

70.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.630

77.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Garcia: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Benn: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.490

24.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.610

Out-Boxer

18.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.580

16.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

30.0 Garcia Confidence High 0.760

21.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.640

Boxer-Puncher

32.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.720

31.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Garcia Confidence Low 0.370

8.0 Benn Confidence Low 0.440

Stance Interaction Garcia vs orthodox  ·  Benn vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.640

62.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Garcia Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Benn Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Garcia

66.67 Benn

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Garcia

0 Benn

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Garcia

66.67 Benn

Opponent Rating Last 3

76.9 Garcia

78.27 Benn

Trend Score Last 5

60 Garcia

80 Benn

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.25 Garcia

83.33 Benn

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.25 Garcia

30.43 Benn

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Garcia

66.67 Benn

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.9 Garcia

78.27 Benn

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Garcia

90 Benn

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Garcia stays in class.

Benn moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia

Height Reach Delta

Garcia height: 174.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Benn height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Garcia.

Advantage: Garcia +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Garcia vs orthodox: 42.0

Benn vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Benn.

Advantage: Benn

Style Interaction

Garcia style: Boxer Puncher

Benn style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: Pure subjective

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