OWN YOUR EDGE
Paro vs Hitchins 07 Dec 2024 Result: Hitchins Historical Pick 55.89% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Richardson Hitchins (S D)

Model pick Richardson Hitchins 55.89%

Prediction result Correct

Paro odds 1.9091

Hitchins odds 2.0000

Paro implied 52.38%

Hitchins implied 50.00%

Pick odds 2

Pick implied 50.00%

Expected return 1.1179

ROI 11.79%

Edge 5.89%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:56:31 UTC

Fighter details
LP
Liam Paro

Score 81.00 · 27-1-0 (16 KO)

Full name Liam Robert Paro

Age 30 · Rank #9 · Confidence Medium 0.665

Stance Southpaw · H/R 174cm / 180cm · AU

RH
Richardson Hitchins

Score 78.76 · 20-0-0 (8 KO)

Full name Richardson Hitchins

Age 28 · Rank #12 · Confidence Medium 0.710

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US

IBF Super lightweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

81.2 Paro Confidence High 0.760

67.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Paro Confidence Medium 0.720

90.3 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

88.8 Paro Confidence Medium 0.660

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

80.5 Paro Confidence Medium 0.680

78.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

92.3 Paro Confidence Medium 0.730

92.3 Hitchins Confidence High 0.790

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Paro Confidence Medium 0.740

90.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Paro Confidence High 0.770

87.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

92.1 Paro Confidence Medium 0.710

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.680

Chin

90.5 Paro Confidence Medium 0.610

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

87.9 Paro Confidence High 0.790

87.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Paro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Hitchins: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Paro Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

24.0 Paro Confidence Medium 0.630

44.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.810

Power Slugger

14.0 Paro Confidence Medium 0.520

6.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Paro Confidence High 0.760

30.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

Counter Puncher

12.0 Paro Confidence Low 0.360

12.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Advantage Paro Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Hitchins Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Paro Confidence Medium 0.720

42.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Paro Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Paro

100 Hitchins

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Paro

33.33 Hitchins

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Paro

33.33 Hitchins

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.22 Paro

74.11 Hitchins

Trend Score Last 5

80 Paro

100 Hitchins

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Paro

100 Hitchins

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

46.67 Paro

37.25 Hitchins

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Paro

33.33 Hitchins

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.22 Paro

74.11 Hitchins

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Paro

100 Hitchins

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Paro stays in class.

Hitchins moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Paro.

Advantage: Paro

Height Reach Delta

Paro height: 174.0cm reach: 180.0cm

Hitchins height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hitchins.

Advantage: Hitchins +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Paro vs orthodox: 68.0

Hitchins vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Paro.

Advantage: Paro (Paro +10.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Paro style: Boxer Puncher

Hitchins style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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