Fight result Subriel Matthew (M D)
Historical lean Alberto Puello 55.93%
Prediction result Incorrect
Matías odds 1.8000
Puello odds 2.1000
Matías implied 55.56%
Puello implied 47.62%
Closing odds 2.1
Closing implied 47.62%
Expected return 1.1745
ROI 17.45%
Edge 8.31%
Lean Value
Bout Historical result
Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:51 UTC
Score 67.58 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)
Full name Subriel Ahmed Matías Matthew
Age 34 · Rank #146 · Confidence Medium 0.671
Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 180cm · PR
Score 73.95 · 24-1-0 (10 KO)
Full name Alberto Puello Calderón
Age 31 · Rank #49 · Confidence Medium 0.651
Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 180cm · DO
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Matías moves down 1 class.
Puello moves down 1 class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Matías height: 175.0cm reach: 180.0cm
Puello height: 175.0cm reach: 180.0cm
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm
Stance Interaction
Matías vs southpaw: 58.0
Puello vs orthodox: 62.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Style Interaction
Matías style: Pressure Swarmer
Puello style: Out Boxer
Interaction: medium advantage Matías.
Advantage: Matías
