Richardson Hitchins vs George Kambosos

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2025-06-14

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Hitchins vs Jr. 14 Jun 2025 Result: Hitchins Historical Pick 92.91% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Richardson Hitchins (KO)

Model pick Richardson Hitchins 92.91%

Prediction result Correct

Hitchins odds 1.1000

Jr. odds 8.0000

Hitchins implied 90.91%

Jr. implied 12.50%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 1.0220

ROI 2.20%

Edge 2.00%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:08 UTC

Fighter details

Richardson Hitchins

Score 78.91 · 20-0-0 (8 KO)

Full name Richardson Hitchins

Age 28 · Rank #12 · Confidence Medium 0.710

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US

IBF Super lightweight

George Kambosos Jr.

Score 52.24 · 22-4-0 (10 KO)

Full name George Kambosos Jr.

Age 32 · Rank #435 · Confidence Medium 0.662

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 173cm · AU

Richardson Hitchins

Full name: Richardson Hitchins
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #12
Current model score: 78.91
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.710
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 20-0-0 (8 KO)

World titles

IBF Super lightweight

14 Jun 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Hitchins

Historical

93% Hitchins

7% Kambosos Jr.

Fight result: Richardson Hitchins (KO)
Model pick: Richardson Hitchins 92.91%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 92.91%
Market odds: 1.1
Implied probability: 90.91%
Expected ROI (1u): 2.20%
Value edge: 2.00%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:08 UTC

George Kambosos Jr.

Full name: George Kambosos Jr.
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #435
Current model score: 52.24
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.662
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 173cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 22-4-0 (10 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

67.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.720

43.6 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

45.9 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.720

67.9 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

78.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.660

70.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

92.3 Hitchins Confidence High 0.790

46.2 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.780

48.5 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.770

56.3 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.680

71.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

92.1 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.610

69.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

87.9 Hitchins Confidence High 0.750

71.3 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Hitchins: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Counter-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.630

22.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

44.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.810

9.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

6.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.780

14.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Hitchins Confidence High 0.760

31.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

12.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.550

24.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Stance Advantage Hitchins Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Jr. Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

40.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Hitchins Confidence Medium 0.650

60.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hitchins

33.33 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Hitchins

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Hitchins

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.11 Hitchins

69.35 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

100 Hitchins

40 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hitchins

62.32 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

37.25 Hitchins

21.74 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Hitchins

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.11 Hitchins

69.35 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Hitchins

60 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hitchins stays in class.

Jr. moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Hitchins.

Advantage: Hitchins

Height Reach Delta

Hitchins height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Jr. height: 175.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hitchins.

Advantage: Hitchins +18.0cm

Stance Interaction

Hitchins vs orthodox: 42.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 40.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral (Hitchins +2.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Hitchins style: Out Boxer

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral