Model pick Nestor Velazquez 71.37%
Velazquez odds 5.7000
Cruz odds 1.1333
Velazquez implied 17.54%
Cruz implied 88.24%
Market odds 5.7
Implied probability 17.54%
Expected return 4.0678
ROI 306.78%
Edge 53.82%
Lean Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-08-23 12:22:48 UTC
Score 62.72 · 24-1-0 (17 KO)
Full name Nestor Bravo Velazquez
Age 32 · Rank #325 · Confidence Medium 0.514
Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · PR
Score 67.50 · 28-3-2 (18 KO)
Full name Isaac Jonathan Cruz González
Age 28 · Rank #168 · Confidence Medium 0.678
Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 161cm · MX
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Velazquez stays in class.
Cruz stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Velazquez height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm
Cruz height: 163.0cm reach: 161.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Velazquez.
Advantage: Velazquez +29.0cm
Stance Interaction
Velazquez vs orthodox: 62.0
Cruz vs orthodox: 42.0
Interaction: medium advantage Velazquez.
Advantage: Velazquez
Style Interaction
Velazquez style: Boxer Puncher
Cruz style: Pressure Swarmer
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
