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Velazquez vs Cruz 19 Sep 2026 Result: González Time-safe result Pick 71.37% Prediction: Incorrect Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Isaac González (KO)

Pre-fight pick Nestor Velazquez 71.37%

Prediction result Incorrect

Velazquez odds 5.7000

Cruz odds 1.1333

Velazquez implied 17.54%

Cruz implied 88.24%

Pre-fight odds 5.7

Pre-fight implied 17.54%

Expected return 4.0678

ROI 306.78%

Edge 53.82%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-08-23 12:22:48 UTC

Fighter details
NV
Nestor Velazquez

Score 55.87 · 24-2-0 (17 KO)

Full name Nestor Bravo Velazquez

Age 32 · Rank #624 · Confidence Medium 0.541

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · PR

Isaac Cruz
Isaac Cruz

Score 67.65 · 29-3-2 (19 KO)

Full name Isaac Jonathan Cruz González

Age 28 · Rank #102 · Confidence Medium 0.663

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 161cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.0 Velazquez Confidence High 0.760

84.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.810

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.500

72.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

66.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.420

76.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.610

Pace Pressure

69.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.560

88.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.830

Defensive Skill

58.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

61.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.460

66.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

60.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.580

73.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

64.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.420

67.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.540

Chin

57.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.660

85.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

63.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.540

80.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Velazquez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Cruz: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.420

42.0 Cruz Confidence High 0.810

Out-Boxer

16.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.480

6.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

24.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.620

22.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.730

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.680

25.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Velazquez Confidence Low 0.330

5.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Velazquez vs orthodox  ·  Cruz vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.570

42.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Velazquez Confidence Medium 0.570

58.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Velazquez

66.67 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Velazquez

33.33 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Velazquez

100 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.81 Velazquez

77.29 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5

40 Velazquez

90 Cruz

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 Velazquez

77.08 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Velazquez

44.79 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Velazquez

100 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.81 Velazquez

77.29 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Velazquez

90 Cruz

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Velazquez stays in class.

Cruz stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Velazquez height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Cruz height: 163.0cm reach: 161.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Velazquez.

Advantage: Velazquez +29.0cm

Stance Interaction

Velazquez vs orthodox: 68.0

Cruz vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Velazquez.

Advantage: Velazquez

Style Interaction

Velazquez style: Boxer Puncher

Cruz style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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