OWN YOUR EDGE
Zepeda vs Farmer 29 Mar 2025 Result: Segura Historical Pick 74.89% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result William Segura (M D)

Model pick William Zepeda 74.89%

Prediction result Correct

Zepeda odds 1.1431

Farmer odds 7.0000

Zepeda implied 87.48%

Farmer implied 14.29%

Pick odds 1.1431

Pick implied 87.48%

Expected return 0.8560

ROI -14.40%

Edge -12.59%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:49 UTC

Fighter details
WZ
William Zepeda

Score 74.95 · 33-1-0 (27 KO)

Full name William Zepeda Segura

Age 29 · Rank #54 · Confidence Medium 0.650

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 177cm · MX

TF
Tevin Farmer

Score 60.14 · 33-9-1 (8 KO)

Full name Tevin Farmer

Age 35 · Rank #346 · Confidence Medium 0.714

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 170cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

89.7 Zepeda Confidence High 0.790

41.0 Farmer Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

80.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

71.1 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.720

Hand Speed

87.4 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.620

83.3 Farmer Confidence High 0.800

Pace Pressure

97.5 Zepeda Confidence High 0.860

41.6 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

72.3 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.720

81.6 Farmer Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

76.8 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

79.7 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.640

67.8 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

66.6 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.550

80.2 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.710

Chin

88.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

42.5 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

95.8 Zepeda Confidence High 0.800

61.5 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Zepeda: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger  vs  Farmer: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

44.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.710

8.0 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

6.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.470

52.0 Farmer Confidence High 0.870

Power Slugger

22.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

4.0 Farmer Confidence High 0.900

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

8.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.390

14.0 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Advantage Zepeda Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Farmer Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

63.0 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

37.0 Farmer Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Zepeda

0 Farmer

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Zepeda

0 Farmer

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Zepeda

33.33 Farmer

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.05 Zepeda

81.25 Farmer

Trend Score Last 5

80 Zepeda

20 Farmer

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Zepeda

41.25 Farmer

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.55 Zepeda

10 Farmer

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Zepeda

33.33 Farmer

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.05 Zepeda

81.25 Farmer

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Zepeda

50 Farmer

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Zepeda stays in class.

Farmer stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Zepeda reach: 177.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Farmer reach: 170.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Zepeda advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Farmer advantage against orthodox: 63.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Zepeda

Style Interaction

Zepeda style: Pressure Swarmer

Farmer style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login