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Zepeda vs Hughes 16 Mar 2024 Result: Segura Historical Pick 76.07% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result William Segura (RTD)

Model pick William Zepeda 76.07%

Prediction result Correct

Zepeda odds 1.0833

Hughes odds 16.0000

Zepeda implied 92.31%

Hughes implied 6.25%

Pick odds 1.0833

Pick implied 92.31%

Expected return 0.8240

ROI -17.60%

Edge -16.24%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:12:26 UTC

Fighter details
WZ
William Zepeda

Score 74.85 · 33-1-0 (27 KO)

Full name William Zepeda Segura

Age 29 · Rank #54 · Confidence Medium 0.650

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 177cm · MX

DH
Daniel Hughes

Score 61.39 · 29-9-2 (6 KO)

Full name Daniel "Maxi" Hughes

Age 36 · Rank #276 · Confidence Medium 0.652

Stance Southpaw · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

89.7 Zepeda Confidence High 0.790

44.0 Hughes Confidence High 0.800

Punching Accuracy

80.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.610

Hand Speed

87.4 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.620

64.0 Hughes Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

97.5 Zepeda Confidence High 0.860

68.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

72.3 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.720

71.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

76.8 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

76.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.640

80.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

66.6 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.550

73.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.590

Chin

88.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

60.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

95.8 Zepeda Confidence High 0.800

75.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Zepeda: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger  vs  Hughes: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

44.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.710

14.0 Hughes Confidence Low 0.470

Out Boxer

6.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.470

41.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.730

Power Slugger

22.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

5.0 Hughes Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

24.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

8.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.390

16.0 Hughes Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Zepeda Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Hughes Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Hughes Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Zepeda

33.33 Hughes

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Zepeda

0 Hughes

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Zepeda

100 Hughes

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.05 Zepeda

69.23 Hughes

Trend Score Last 5

80 Zepeda

60 Hughes

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Zepeda

54.5 Hughes

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.55 Zepeda

8.11 Hughes

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Zepeda

100 Hughes

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.05 Zepeda

69.23 Hughes

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Zepeda

60 Hughes

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Zepeda stays in class.

Hughes moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Reach vs Height Delta

Zepeda reach: 177.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Hughes reach: N/A height: N/A delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Zepeda advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Hughes advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Style Interaction

Zepeda style: Pressure Swarmer

Hughes style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Model: FiteQuant

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