Model pick William Zepeda 58.15%
Zepeda odds 2.6400
Roach odds 1.4651
Zepeda implied 37.88%
Roach implied 68.25%
Market odds 2.64
Implied probability 37.88%
Expected return 1.5351
ROI 53.51%
Edge 20.27%
Lean Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-07-06 00:58:26 UTC
Score 70.47 · 33-1-0 (27 KO)
Full name William Zepeda Segura
Age 30 · Rank #90 · Confidence Medium 0.642
Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 177cm · MX
Score 70.40 · 25-1-3 (10 KO)
Full name Lamont Roach Jr.
Age 30 · Rank #91 · Confidence Medium 0.639
Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Zepeda stays in class.
Roach moves down 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Zepeda.
Advantage: Zepeda
Height Reach Delta
Zepeda height: 175.0cm reach: 177.0cm
Roach height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Zepeda.
Advantage: Zepeda +9.0cm
Stance Interaction
Zepeda vs orthodox: 42.0
Roach vs southpaw: 58.0
Interaction: low advantage Roach.
Advantage: Roach
Style Interaction
Zepeda style: Pressure Swarmer
Roach style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
