Raymond Muratalla vs Andy Cruz

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2026-01-24

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Muratalla vs Cruz 24 Jan 2026 Result: Muratalla Historical Pick 51.53% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Raymond Muratalla (M D)

Model pick Andy Cruz 51.53%

Prediction result Incorrect

Muratalla odds 3.2000

Cruz odds 1.4000

Muratalla implied 31.25%

Cruz implied 71.43%

Pick odds 1.4

Pick implied 71.43%

Expected return 0.7214

ROI -27.86%

Edge -19.90%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:53:19 UTC

Fighter details

Raymond Muratalla

Score 73.42 · 24-0-0 (17 KO)

Full name Raymond Muratalla

Age 29 · Rank #49 · Confidence Medium 0.574

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

Andy Cruz

Score 70.44 · 6-1-0 (3 KO)

Full name Andy Cruz Gómez

Age 30 · Rank #105 · Confidence Medium 0.660

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / N/A · CU

Raymond Muratalla

Full name: Raymond Muratalla
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #49
Current model score: 73.42
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.574
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (17 KO)

World titles

WBC Lightweight IBF Lightweight

24 Jan 2026

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Muratalla

Historical

48% Muratalla

52% Cruz

Fight result: Raymond Muratalla (M D)
Model pick: Andy Cruz 51.53%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 51.53%
Market odds: 1.4
Implied probability: 71.43%
Expected ROI (1u): -27.86%
Value edge: -19.90%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:53:19 UTC

Andy Cruz

Full name: Andy Cruz Gómez
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #105
Current model score: 70.44
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.660
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / N/A
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 6-1-0 (3 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.730

65.7 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

86.2 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.620

76.6 Cruz Confidence High 0.800

Hand Speed

82.7 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.580

78.9 Cruz Confidence High 0.780

Pace Pressure

86.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.670

73.8 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

82.9 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.560

82.2 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

82.7 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.590

79.1 Cruz Confidence High 0.810

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.9 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.680

73.5 Cruz Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

78.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.480

82.7 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.740

Chin

77.6 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.450

76.8 Cruz Confidence Low 0.460

Cardio Engine

87.9 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.720

69.3 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Muratalla: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Cruz: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.390

10.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

24.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

18.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.490

8.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

35.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.710

30.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

8.0 Muratalla Confidence Low 0.270

14.0 Cruz Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Advantage Muratalla Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Cruz Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Muratalla Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Cruz Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Muratalla

66.67 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Muratalla

33.33 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Muratalla

66.67 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3

59.39 Muratalla

68.15 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5

100 Muratalla

80 Cruz

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Muratalla

83.33 Cruz

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Muratalla

41.67 Cruz

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Muratalla

66.67 Cruz

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

59.39 Muratalla

68.15 Cruz

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Muratalla

90 Cruz

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Muratalla stays in class.

Cruz stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Muratalla reach: 183.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Cruz reach: N/A height: 175.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Muratalla advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Cruz advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cruz.

Advantage: Cruz

Style Interaction

Muratalla style: Boxer Puncher

Cruz style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral